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郭思治:大市結束六連跌並作明顯反彈
阿思達克 01-15 08:48
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過連續六天不斷反覆下跌後,昨日(14日)亦漸增,故大市卒再進一步上升至19,318點方漸受規限,即其時恆指已回升444點,從技術上看,恆指既能重越19,000點,當表示大市之跌勢已暫見喘定,但嚴格而言,必需待恆指成功重越10天線(約在19,426點左近)並穩守其上,方算初呈回穩訊號,惟有一點需留意,由於實體經濟仍然疲弱,加上不明因素仍多,故大市之回升暫該只屬大幅急跌後之技術性後抽而已,恆指最後報收19,219點,較上日升345點,全日總成交金額爲1,576億元。 拉闊一點看,大市自去年10月7日高位23,241點開始之回調,初步確喘定於11月26日之低位19,054點,從技術上看,大市雖已回調4,187點,但該只屬大幅急升後之正常回吐而已,畢竟恆指自去年1月22日之低位14,794點開始之上升,至10月7日高位23,241點止計,大市累積之升幅已達8447點,即是說,大市只是回調升幅8,447點之49.5%,但經過周來之一輪急跌後,由於恆指目前已跌穿去年11月26日之低位19,054點,故從走勢上看,該表示大市自去年10月7日高位23,241點開始之回調,形態上不但仍在延續中,且技術上更可能漸發展成一個小型中期跌浪。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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