植耀輝:關稅衝擊金融市場 恆指勢裂口低開
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,雖然上週五(4日)美國公佈之就業數據普遍優於預期,不過由特朗普關稅措施所引發之金融市場波動持續。美股三大指數亦跌勢未止,當中道指大跌2,231點或5.5%,標普500指數亦跌6%,納指跌幅亦達到5.8%,年內累積亦已接近近2成。
而在關稅陰霾衝擊下,港股及A股上週四均出現不同程度下跌。A股方面,滬深兩市上週四(3日)開市早段均跌約1%,收市上綜指跌幅收窄至0.24%,報3,342點,深成指則全日均維持跌勢,最終收報10,365點,下跌1.4%,全日成交則再次增加至過萬億元人民幣,達到1.14萬億元人民幣。
港股同樣受到關稅打擊,尤其是與關稅敏感度較高之出口股。恆指大幅低開564點後跌勢有所放緩,早段跌幅亦曾收窄至204點,不過整體走勢仍弱,加上缺乏利好消息支持,恆指最終收報22,849點,下跌352點或1.52%,科指則跌超過2%,收報5,313點,全日交投十分活躍,接近2,900億元。出口股成爲跌市重災區,創科(00669.HK)大跌12.4%,申洲(02313.HK)更大跌14%。
監於美股上週大跌,今日(7日)亞太區股市亦急挫,執筆之時新加坡黑期亦大跌近1,500點至21,000點邊緣,意味恆指今日有相當大機會裂口低開。由於市場恐慌情緒加劇,或會加重大市跌勢,不過若北水持續「掃貨」則可能減緩恆指跌勢。惟由於關稅陰霾短期難解,恆指波動性亦在所難免;另亦值得留意的是,恆指亦再次失守筆者過往經常強調之250月線(21,850點),後市若未能重上該水平的話,則意味中線走勢恐會再度轉弱。
(筆者並未持有相關股份)~
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