郭思治:大市略見反覆並稍跌穿22,000點
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過連續三天上升後,昨(24日)略見消化及回吐,恆指昨早市先輕微低開42點至22,030點,其後曾略爲回升至22,093點,但由於買盤不足,加上零碎沽壓又再滲着涌現,故大市卒再反覆回落,而恆指亦一度回吐至21,712點方漸見喘定,而由於買賣雙方均偏向觀望,故大市一直拉鋸於上述波幅之內,直到下午收市時,整個大市仍持續處拉鋸待變之中,恆指最後報收21,909點,較上日跌162點,全日總成交金額爲2,047億元。
再從技術上看,本月7日大市先大幅低開2,119點至20,730點,其後曾一度反彈至21,047點,而最後則報收於19,828點,較上日大幅急跌3,021點,需留意的是,當日恆指遺留下一個大型下降裂口,介乎22,638點至21,047點,闊1,591點,惟經過近兩週之反彈後,大市已逐步回補上述下降裂口,惟仍有一段介乎22,638點至22,138點,闊500點之下降裂口仍尚待回補。
另外,移動線方面之走勢已稍見改善,恆指繼成功重越10天線(約在21,274點左近)及100天線(約在21,333點左近)之後,更於23日曾再稍重越20天線(約在21,945點左近),即是說,只要恆指能穩守於20天線之上,再往上望之目標該爲50天線(約在22,802點左近),當然,成交金額能否配合至爲關鍵,因動力如不相配,大市之升勢該會漸受規限。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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