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新能源賽道重拾漲勢,光伏股“火力全開”,800億龍頭盤中飆停!

市場狂歡的熱情僅僅一夜,稍縱即逝。

昨天臨了還算趕上了的港股迅速冷卻,A股則直接略過了這一波。

今天,港A股紛紛高開低走,市場熱點題材迅速輪動。

軍工、蘋果概念等近來火爆的板塊回落,遭重挫的醫藥股開啓反彈,新能源賽道則成爲今天市場的亮點。

其中,光伏板塊尤爲強勢,硅料、BC電池等方向表現突出。

截至發稿,大全能源、東方日升大漲近15%,京運通、歐晶科技、集泰股份等漲停。

光伏巨頭通威股份盤中一度強勢封板,現漲超7%報18.39元,總市值827.9億元。

港股市場光伏概念股也集體上漲。協鑫科技漲超7%,陽光能源漲超4%,新特能源、協鑫新能源等跟漲。

緣何走強?

從宏觀因素來看,中美會談超預期提振光伏行業。

隨着雙方各取消了共計91%的加徵關稅,暫停實施24%的反制關稅。

這無疑將直接利好光伏產業鏈的出海。

海外市場一直是我國光伏企業的重要市場。海關總署數據顯示,截至2024年,我國光伏產品連續4年出口超過2000億元。

此前在特朗普加徵關稅下,美國對華鋰電池關稅屢創新高

截至2025年4月9日,據公開信息統計,美方對中方徵收動力電池和儲能電池關稅已經達到132.4%、114.9%。

而中國化學與物理電源行業協會的數據顯示,2024年美國是中國鋰離子電池出口第一大市場,其次是德國、韓國。

來源:中國化學與物理電源行業協會

從行業因素來看,今日市場傳聞“光伏廠家減產挺價”引發熱議。

據說,硅料行業前六大廠商正籌劃整合剩餘產能,並提議通過減產挺價穩定市場。

儘管方案細節尚未明確,但頭部企業已就控產達成初步共識,疊加庫存去化加速,光伏產業鏈或迎來階段性拐點。

有業內人士指出,目前硅料價格已接近龍頭企業現金成本,理性情況下價格跌無可跌,價格拐點將至。

一旦硅料價格企穩回升,將直接利好硅料生產企業,提高其盈利能力。

本週多晶硅會議將召開,前期傳出頭部硅料廠挺價消息,或支撐後續硅料價格。

基本面有望修復?

目前,光伏行業正經歷供給側出清與需求結構性調整的雙重考驗。

據市場統計,2024年,110家A股光伏公司合計實現營業收入約1.38萬億元,同比減少17.96%;合計實現歸屬於母公司股東的淨利潤約-3.63億元,同比減少100.25%。

2025年Q1,110家A股光伏公司合計實現營業收入2791.36億元,歸屬於母公司股東的淨利潤累計約47.44億元。同比去年Q1,無論是營收還是淨利潤的整體規模均大幅縮水。

中信建投認爲,從2024年年報及2025年一季報情況來看,光伏行業盈利能力明顯回落。

但當前光伏行業報表端底部已經出現,四季度大量固定資產減值以及一季度東南亞雙反影響已體現至報表,預計盈利能力進一步惡化概率較小。

從產能端來看,行業擴產意願受低盈利影響已明顯下降,固定資產增速預計未來一年將大幅回落,但存量產能仍明顯高於需求。行業後續需要重點關注上遊去庫以及產能出清進度。

中銀證券認爲,對美國及全球新興經濟體光伏需求增速保持樂觀。中央經濟工作會議明確提出綜合整治“內卷式”競爭,光伏供給側改革力度有望加強。

光伏製造降本增效仍爲主線,重點關注硅料、電池片頭部企業格局優化、盈利提升以及金屬化新技術滲透率提升。

中信證券稱,在光伏產業鏈量、價、利觸底的情況下,需求端有望逐步復甦並穩健增長,供給側通過行政約束、自律限產和市場化出清等手段,行業有望迎來基本面修復。

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