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分歧後,市場選的依然是它們

昨天晚上中概暴跌,所以今天低開是不可避免的,早盤的高走也幾乎是沒有懸念的。要有懸念,那就是高走到底會走什麼板塊爲主。

後面的結果告訴我們了,高走的不是消費爲代表的順週期板塊去博弈兩會,也不是有剛果禁止鈷出口利好的鈷鋰爲代表的新能源板塊,也不是以往避險的紅利板塊(雖然以煤炭爲代表的紅利確實高走了一波),市場選的依然更願意呆在主線方向:AI和機器人,另外就是華爲供應鏈今天很強。

華爲3月份將有新產品發佈,另外小米後天也有新產品發佈,所以今天雖然恆科大跌,但小米走勢極強。這是25年的投資主線,要盯着大廠,它們會花錢,它們發佈新產品,都可以刺激一輪行情。

華爲鏈今天有9家公司漲停,其中大富科技20CM漲停,老龍常山北明今天都一度反彈了8個點。

AI方向,分歧在發生,但強勢票依然很強勢。寒王繼續強勢迴歸,股價盤中突破800元。杭鋼股份繼續封漲停,15天拉出了11個板。雲天勵飛20CM漲停,創新高。科泰電源盤中大漲14個點,創新高。另有一些高標票出現大跌,如拓維信息尾盤跌停。

機器人今天有13只個股漲停,五洲新春大漲7個點,創新高。

指數下午又跌下去了,領跌的是上證50指數,即低位板塊爲主,典型代表就是消費里的白酒。可見,市場在分歧發生時,依然並不想嘗試高低切的交易,寧可擁抱主線共進退。

後面有個非常重要的事件,是英偉達的財報,這將決定美股AI的命運。A股現在是在走美股AI走過的路,如果美股AI走到盡頭,那對A股的AI就如一把達摩克利斯之劍懸在頭上。

那麼:

現在這種主線板塊在分歧,波動加劇,低位板塊市場又不理的情景,投資人應該如何作應對?

AI和機器人內部哪些方向可以繼續漲,哪些方向要注意風險?

順週期板塊究竟有沒有可能博弈一波兩會?彈性最好的順週期板塊是哪個方向?

……

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注意:文中所提個股和題材板塊不構成任何推薦,僅爲覆盤和學習交流所用,投資決策需建立在自我獨立理性思考和專業研判之上,市場有風險,投資需謹慎。

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