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A股收評:滬指跌1.08%,光伏股回調,智譜AI概念逆勢活躍

10月29日,A股主要指數高開低走,滬指收跌1.08%報3286點,深證成指跌1.33%,創業板指跌2.32%。

全天成交2.06萬億元,較前一交易日增量1992億元,超4200股下跌。

盤面上,智譜AI板塊持續活躍,豆神教育兩連板;併購重組、轉基因概念走強,貴金屬、IPv6及全息技術等板塊升幅居前。長壽藥板塊下挫,CRO板塊普跌,煤炭板塊走低,AI語料、BC電池等板塊跌幅居前。

具體來看:

光伏股回調,大全能源跌超9%,聚合材料跌超7%,東方日升、時創能源跌超6%。中原證券表示,鑑於光伏板塊已陷入深度虧損,主材環節面臨虧現金流局面,預計市場化出清程度會加深。但考慮到行業調整時間和上一輪資金儲備情況,預計完成調整尚需時日。在市場風險偏好提升,板塊處於大週期估值區間低位,行業基本面有望觸底的背景下,行業存在超跌反彈的機遇。

煤炭股大跌居前,凱瑞德跌超9%,金能科技、蘭花科創、昊華能源、鄭州煤電跌超6%。開源證券指出,煤炭黃金時代2.0,煤炭核心價值資產有望再起。煤炭股週期彈性投資邏輯,受宏觀政策利多將被強化。當前無論動力煤還是煉焦煤價格均處於低位,隨着供需基本面的持續改善,兩類煤種仍將具備向上彈性,且空間升幅均較大,其中動力煤存在區間內彈性而煉焦煤則是完全彈性,一定的週期彈性屬性將獲得週期品資金的青睞。該機構表示,Q3業績向好重整旗鼓,煤炭雙邏輯且四主線佈局。

鋼鐵股走低,盛德鑫泰、本鋼板材跌超6%,山東鋼鐵、杭鋼股份跌超5%。華創證券指出,鋼鐵行業目前面臨着需求轉型階段,整體需求強度仍處於逐步下降階段。面對需求端的變化,供給端相對過剩,使得行業景氣度較為低迷。該行認為,我國鋼鐵工業經過長年的高速發展,部分產能或已無法滿足現階段發展,疊加綠色發展為企業提高了准入門檻,部分企業經營困難。8月份工業和信息化部已暫停公示、公吿新的鋼鐵產能置換項目,堵上新增產能的入口,未來若相關產能退出及聯合重組機制逐步完善,行業供給有望明顯改善。

智譜AI概念股火熱,豆神教育、川大智勝、四川長虹等多股升停。中信建投研報表示,近期AI Agent密集發佈,字節跳動豆包AI智能體耳機Ola Friend、智譜AI自主智能體AutoGLM、金蝶AI管理助手蒼穹APP均帶來了更自然的AI交互體驗,有望推動AI應用加速發展。

併購重組概念逆勢上揚,嶺南股份、創新醫療、川大智勝等多股升停。雙成藥業股價一度突破40元,股價翻十倍;海能達24天20板,華立股份13連板。銀河證券指出,後市三個方向值得關注:第一,央國企併購重組,尤其是房地產行業中的央國企併購重組;第二,科創板公司併購重組,尤其是計算機、電子、機械設備等行業;第三,金融行業併購重組,尤其是券商行業。

消費電子、蘋果概念股走高,格林精密、龍旗科技、聯創光電、福日電子等多股升停。消息面上,蘋果正式推出首批Apple Intelligence和iOS 18.1。同時,全系搭載M4芯片的Mac系列新品也亮相,這也標誌其設備進入新時代。華福證券指出,消費電子正處在企穩回暖、行業創新週期來臨和巨頭新品催化不斷的三重拐點。

展望後市,中信證券此前指出,A股當前仍處於活躍資金持續入場主導下的政策博弈交易階段,政策預期主導短期行情,政策信號依然積極,已落地政策初見成效,以個人投資者為代表的活躍資金持續入場,短期內成長風格彈性更大,待政策落地全面起效、價格信號驗證企穩後,機構資金或將迎來積極入場時機,穩步上升的行情將持續更長時間,屆時,績優成長和內需板塊預計將持續佔優。

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