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市場反彈急先鋒!“股王”茅台暴走,白酒信仰迴歸?
格隆匯 09-27 16:24

A股迎歷史性行情,大消費率先吹響“牛市”衝鋒號角。

伴隨政策“大禮包”的落地,各路資金火速跑步入場,“白酒信仰”似乎正在迴歸。

週五,白酒股延續昨日火爆,強勢掀升停潮。水井坊、捨得酒業、古井貢酒、山西汾酒、酒鬼酒、迎駕貢酒等紛紛升停。

茅台連續飆!

“股王”茅台繼續強勢拉升,今天站上1600元,成交額超140.5億元。

截至收盤,升6.55%報1629.2元/股,最新總市值為2.05萬億元。

自本週二以來,茅台連續四連升,並收復1300元、1400元、1500元、1600元四道整數關口,累計升幅超29%。

作為A股市場的一面“旗”,“股王”茅台的企穩是對市場信心的體現。

昨晚,茅台公吿稱,三隻指數基金在三季度合計增持超百億元。

最新股東名單顯示,截至9月20日,上證50交易型開放式指數基金、華泰柏瑞滬深300交易型開放式指數基金、易方達滬深300交易型開放式指數發起式基金等三隻指數基金均大手筆增持。

三隻基金合計增持約830萬股,增持股份價值超過百億元,分別位於貴州茅台前十大股東的第五、第六和第九。

此前,茅台股價經歷一輪持續回調,酒價一降再降,市場皆稱“白酒信仰”要崩塌。

隨後,茅台“祭出”註銷式回購計劃,最高回購60億,以提振市場信心。

這是貴州茅台上市23年來的首次回購,屬實罕見。

對此,花旗分析師指出,茅台股票回購是一個驚喜,此舉可能會吸引更多的長期投資者。

預計公司或將在未來6個月出台進一步的計劃穩定批發平均售價,以恢復投資者對長期前景的信心。

反彈先鋒

近來,在“一攬子”政策利好之下,市場強心劑不斷被注入,A股讓人酣暢淋漓,大消費也振奮人心

昨天,政治局會議彰顯促消費決心。會議提到,要把促消費和惠民生結合起來,促進中低收入羣體增收,提升消費結構。要培育新型消費業態。

今天,央行同步實施降準降息。其中,降準50個基點降息20BP。

這距離“一行一會一局”發聲僅過去三天,政策落地,A股便從2700點突破到了3000點上方。

在這一輪猛攻之中,白酒股則一馬當先。而白酒暴升背後,又與地產有着強相關。

無論是央行降準、降息、降房貸利率,還是政治局會議高呼促進房地產市場止跌回穩,都意在穩定樓市。

而樓市穩定、居民壓力減輕就是變相提高消費。

隨着美聯儲步入降息週期,國內政策組合拳的利好釋放,對於超跌的白酒股來説,便是暴力反彈的催化劑。

對此,開源證券指出,隨着當前政策改善預期扭轉,市場悲觀情緒得到緩解。以白酒為代表的食品飲料作為經濟順週期的重要行業之一,在經濟預期轉向時,更容易獲得市場青睞。

展望後市,中信建投策略首席陳果指出,當前是中國資產信心重估的行情,也是三四年熊市之後,市場確認到政策焦點聚焦在全力振興經濟的行情。

這個行情不開展則已,一展開就是有相當級別的,現在判斷看多少點,看幾周,看幾個月,都太早了。

其次,當前不會只是單一行業的結構性行情,非銀、金融科技、核心資產、寧組合、茅指數、順週期白馬龍頭等不會缺席,有色等週期股也會有所表現。

對於市場後續的演繹,短期看資金,中期看基本面。

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