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研报掘金|广发证券:首次覆盖颐海国际 予“买入”评级及合理价值18港元
广发证券发表报吿,首次覆盖颐海国际,予“买入”评级,合理价值18港元。该行预计公司2024至2026年净利润分别为9.4/10.6/11.9亿元,按年增长10.7%/12.4%/11.9%,参考可比公司估值及公司改革势能节奏,给予2024年18倍市盈率。报吿指,2022年以来关联方承压、速食需求疲软及中式覆调掉队等多重因素叠加,颐海国际与天味食品的差距逐步拉开。考虑渠道基因和产品矩阵的差异,颐海受外部环境扰动更剧烈,但组织调整滞后及对市场反应钝化或为核心。该行认为今年在关联方增长、产品质价比、激励模式改革及多渠道补齐等下或迎反转机遇。此外,报吿指,2023年公司和海底捞均大幅提升派息比例至90%,考虑现有产能充裕,低资本开支和充裕现金流下高派息或有支撑。
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