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券商股大爆發,證券ETF飆升6%

什麼叫不鳴則已,一鳴驚人,説的就是今日的券商板塊。同花順證券指數高開高走,收升6.46%。

中金公司、國盛金控、太平洋、浙商證券、方正證券、首創證券、錦龍股份、中國銀河升停,此外金融科技股也跟隨走強,財富趨勢、威士頓、指南針等升超10%。

ETF方面,匯安基金上證券商ETF、匯添富基金證券指數ETF分別升6.94%、6.79%,天弘基金證券ETF升6.63%。

消息面上,國務院報吿提出集中力量打造金融國家隊。《國務院關於金融企業國有資產管理情況專項報吿審議意見的研究處理情況和整改問責情況的報吿》提出集中力量打造金融業“國家隊”,具體來看:一是要求推進國有大型金融企業對標世界一流金融企業,在證券業領域,按總資產計全球投行前5名均為美/日公司,亟待綜合實力提升;二是支持頭部證券公司做強做優,支持建設世界一流交易所等。

4月25日晚間,國聯證券發佈籌劃重大資產重組事項的停牌公吿稱,該公司擬發行股份收購國聯集團等45名對手方持有的民生證券95.48%的股權。這預示着,自國聯證券控股股東國聯集團於2023年3月15日,通過競拍方式取得民生證券30.30%股權後,兩家券商重組整合進入實質階段。

國聯證券表示,此舉是堅守業務本源,做優做強,打造一家業務特色鮮明、市場排名前列、具有較強競爭力的大型證券公司的戰略舉措。

從券商板塊表現來看,4月券商指數上旬持續震盪回落,並一度逼近2月初的年內低點,雖然中旬以來企穩小幅反彈,但整體表現較為弱勢,板塊平均P/B再度回落至1.20倍下方。

方正證券認為,受此前業務收緊等悲觀預期影響,當前主動權益基金對券商板塊持倉顯著低配(1Q24配置係數僅0.16),4/25板塊PB估值1.06xPB、亦處於十年0%分位數,此次兩項事件催化有望糾偏過度悲觀的市場預期。

中短期內,證監會將以“1+N”政策體系系統化推進落實資本市場新“國九條”提出的各項政策舉措,資本市場高質量發展將為證券行業營造良好的外部經營環境。

目前A股有多隻券商主題的行業ETF,規模超百億的有國泰基金證券ETF和華寶基金券商ETF,最新規模分別為298.77億元和197.13億元。前者跟蹤的指數是中證全指證券公司指數。

中證證券指數的前十大權重股的合計權重為55.03%,中信證券、東方財富和海通證券是前三大權重股,佔比分別為12.96%、11.44%和5.75%。

國泰君安證券指出,行業整合有望加速,預計政策的出台將更有利於專業、合規經營的頭部券商。“新國九條”將加強監管,推動證券基金行業迴歸本源,支持頭部機構通過併購重組、組織創新等方式提升核心競爭力。預計行業整合有望加速,這使得具備專業化能力、合規經營的頭部券商更為受益。

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