高盛押後歐央行啟動減息時間預測至今年6月
高盛把歐央行啟動減息時間預測由今年4月押後至今年6月,並把今年減息次數預測由6次減至5次,明年減息次數預測則由1次增至2次,每次減息幅度預測維持25點子。該行表示,今年1月及2月歐元區通脹數據均超預期,減少提前減息機會。
歐元區上月通脹及核心通脹分別按月放緩0.2個百分點至2.6%及3.1%,但高於市場預期的分別2.5%及2.9%。
利率期貨市場顯示,交易員目前預期歐央行今年6月減息機會為77.6%。
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