《即日市評》恆指回吐 內需股弱 三桶油及煤股受捧
恆指上周連升三日(累升593點或3.8%)後,今日反覆回落。美國1月生產者物價(PPI)漲幅5個月來最大,高於預期。市場對聯儲局減息預期進一步降溫,美股道指及納指上周五各跌近0.4%及0.8%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.281厘,美匯指數跌至104.19,道指期貨最新升16點或0.04%,納指期貨最新升0.2%。A股於農曆新春假期後今復市,人行昨開展5,000億元人幣MLF操作,有市場人士憧憬周二公布的貸款市場報價利率(LPR)利率或下調。上證綜指收全日反覆升44點或1.56%收2,910點,深證成指升0.9%,而滬深兩市成交額共9,572億人民幣。
恆指低開5點後跌幅擴大,曾跌201點一度低見16,137點,全日跌184點或1.1%,收16,155點;國指跌73點或1.3%,收5,484點;恆生科技指數跌89點或2.7%,收3,253點。大市全日成交總額820.87億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入42.83億及14.17億元人民幣。
據報京東(09618.HK)研究收購英國電器零售商Currys,京東吐4.1%。其他科技股方面,騰訊(00700.HK)、阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)跌逾2%。
【科網股走弱 能源股彈高】
能源股逆市受捧,中石化(00386.HK)、中石油(00857.HK)及中海油(00883.HK)升1.9%至3.1%,煤炭股神華(01088.HK)升4.2%,兗礦能源(01171.HK)及中煤(01898.HK)股價各抽高7.7%及5.1%。金礦股亦上揚,紫金(02899.HK)揚5.1%。
中金發表報告指出,石油市場中,地緣不確定性持續、OPEC+繼續減產、需求表現邊際改善,共同驅動偏弱預期向仍較好的基本面進行修正。EIA數據顯示2月前兩周美國原油庫存轉為累積,該行認為主因或為美國煉廠開工率在寒潮擾動後仍維持低位、恢復進度落後於原油生產,而非完全反映油品需求走弱;可以看到,煉廠開工率下降導致2月以來美國成品油庫存超過季節性去化。該行提及,在OPEC+於首季維持額外減產計劃的基準情形下,測算今年首季全球石油市場或仍將面臨每日20萬桶左右的供需缺口,石油可能仍是今年基本面較好的大宗資產。
此外,中金指春節期間國內煤炭市場交投清淡,秦港庫存快速下滑至近年低位,補庫需求或對價格形成一定支撐。海外動力煤低價也驅動部分補庫需求,海外煤價有所止跌反彈。
【跌股千一隻 內需股急吐】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為16比26(上日35為比10),下跌股份1,114隻(跌幅3.1%),恆指成份股今日18隻股份上升,64隻股份下跌,升跌比率為22比78(上日為99比0);大市今日錄沽空131.57億元,佔可沽空股份成交額724.54億元的18.159%(上日17.747%)。
內需股回吐,中國中免(01880.HK)股價下滑10%,李寧(02331.HK)跌8.6%,九毛九(09922.HK)及康師傅(00322.HK)跌6.3%。高盛發表報告指,在本月10日至17日中國新年假期收集的零售及消費數據顯示,中國服務及貨品消費在強於預期的人流下表現穩固,好過市場相對較低的預期,在消費者的消費及旅遊意欲之上,長假期較去年增加一天及較暖天氣為消費提供助力。
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!

Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.