《即日市評》恆指「三連升」 科網及內房股搶高
受科網股及消費股升勢帶動,港股連升第三個交易日。美國1月零售銷售按月降0.8%遜預期,美股道指及納指隔晚各升0.9%及0.3%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.269厘,美匯指數升至104.34,道指期貨最新跌31點或0.08%,納指期貨最新升0.5%。A股因農曆新年休市,直至下周一(19日)起復市。
恆指高開62點後升幅擴大,曾升449點一度見16,394點,全日升395點或2.5%,收16,339點;國指升147點或2.7%,收5,558點;恆生科技指數升119點或3.7%,收3,342點。大市全日成交總額增至706.58億元。滬、深港通交易下周一(19日)恢復。內房股造高,龍湖(00960.HK)及中國海外(00688.HK)各彈上10.2%及6.2%。恆指服務公司今日收市後將公布季檢結果,中金早前料有機會「染藍」的快手(01024.HK)、太古地產(01972.HK)、京東物流(02618.HK)及小鵬(09868.HK)等股價全日各揚2.2%、3.1%、6.6%及5.9%。
恆指本周累升593點或3.8%、國指本周累升252點或4.7%及恆生科指本周累升215點或6.9%。港股因新春假期於本周僅有三個交易日,受惠於內地假期消費及旅遊數據理想息,濠賭股及體育用品股受追捧。
【恆指三連升 科網股走強】
科網股走強,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價上揚2.2%收291.8元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)漲2.4%,美團(03690.HK)彈高4.6%,而小米集團(01810.HK)股價抽升5.5%收13.42元。
富瑞發表報告指出,人行數據顯示,除夕至大年初五(9至14日)期間,內地網絡支付交易量按年增長15.8%至153.8億筆,支付金額升10.1%至7.74萬億元人民幣,即交易量增速快過開支增速。當中,餐飲、住宿、旅遊、零售及娛樂(如電影)等消費場景尤其受到青睞,按年增長均超過20%。此外,該行認為在線旅遊中介(OTA)及住宿受惠於人民幣。另一方面,低線城市是國內服務的增長引擎。內地電影方面,票房與去年相比基本穩定。
【升股千四隻 消費股造好】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為35比10(上日21為比19),上升股份1,459隻(升幅4.6%),恆指成份股今日81隻股份上升,無股份下跌,升跌比率為99比0(上日為60比30);大市今日錄沽空107.37億元,佔可沽空股份成交額604.99億元的17.747%(上日20.268%)。
消費股方面,潤啤(00291.HK)升9.1%,蒙牛(02319.HK)及九毛九(09922.HK)升逾7%,青啤(00168.HK)、安踏(02020.HK)及海底撈(06862.HK)升逾5%至6%。百勝中國(09987.HK)全日股價揚2.2%收324.4元。
里昂發表報告,將百勝中國(YUMC.US)投資評級由「買入」下調至「跑贏大市」,目標價維持46美元。該行指,市場憂慮境外遊及不尋常寒冷天氣或影響內地本土消費,但跨區域出行數字較2019年同期強勁顯示情況並非如此。然而,該行仍視價格疲弱為中國消費復甦的最大拖累,上月內地消費物價指數仍然疲弱,且發現春節期間打折活動多於往常。
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