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光伏全線大跌,硅片巨頭業績暴雷!光伏ETF(159857)上車還是快跑?
格隆匯 01-29 11:42

截至今日10:30,光伏指數大跌4.54%,TCL中環、愛旭股份、晶澳科技均接近跌停,隆基綠能、陽光電源下跌超4%。

消息面上,TCL中環近期發佈業績預吿,預計2023年歸母淨利潤為42億元—48億元,同比下降29.6%—38.4%。雖然2023年全年呈現盈利狀態,但其第四季度業績卻是鉅虧。2023年前三季度,TCL中環歸母淨利潤達到61.88億元,以此計算,TCL中環2023年第四季度預計虧損13.88億元-19.88億元,主要原因為第四季度光伏產業鏈中主要產品價格的快速下跌。

本次硅片巨頭業績出現季度虧損,仍與光伏產業鏈的產能過剩問題有關。值得關注的是,根據硅業分會1月24日數據,近期硅片價格已經有所回暖,周環比小幅上升。產業鏈價格或將階段性觸底,春節後需求啟動有望帶動產業鏈價格反彈。天弘基金經理劉笑明認為,預計整個產業鏈的出清與再平衡將延續到2024年的一季度或二季度,但當基本面出現邊際改善時,股價可能會提前反彈。

此外,光伏產業保持高速增長,需求強勁。2023年全年國內新增光伏裝機216.9GW,同比+148%。四季度為光伏裝機傳統旺季,年底各組件企業衝量,同時受指標裝機日期等因素限制,12月光伏項目大量搶裝併網。從歷年情況看,部分項目需求或將延續至一季度併網。

短期波動難以改變長期投資邏輯,深度回調後,光伏產業估值顯著消化,低於歷史上95%的時間,盡顯投資性價比。建議光伏投資者可以放長眼光,靜候未來行業拐點!光伏ETF(159857)盡攬產業鏈上中下游50只優質龍頭股,百萬用户已上車,是一鍵佈局光伏產業超跌機遇的省心之選。

數據來源於iFinD,市場有風險,投資需謹慎。

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