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《即日市評》恆指「七連跌」 車股走弱 海底撈彈高
恆指今日持續向下。投資者等待本周稍後美國公布通脹數據,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.42%及微升0.09%。世界銀行料今年全球GDP增長2.4%連續3年放緩,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.996厘,美匯指數處於102.49,道指期貨最新跌25點或0.07%,納指期貨最新升0.19%。惠譽預期內銀今年仍面臨持續資本壓力及需要加快化解風險,人民幣即期收跌114點報7.1704兌一美元。上證綜指全日跌15點或0.5%收2,877點,深證成指跌0.6%,而滬深兩市成交額共6,470億人民幣。 恆指低開46點,初段倒升57點見16,247點後再度向下,尾市曾跌153點一度低見16,036點,全日跌92點或0.6%,收16,097點,連跌七個交易日(累跌950點或5.6%);國指全日跌28點或0.5%,收5,421點;恆生科技指數跌26點或0.8%,收3,428點。大市全日成交總額745.14億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入22.88億及15.95億元人民幣。 科網股方面,騰訊(00700.HK)股價跌1.2%收280.2元,阿里(09988.HK)跌0.6%。金融股偏軟,友邦(01299.HK)股價跌1.8%。 【恆指七連跌 蔚來有沽壓】 車股方面,蔚來(09866.HK)行政總裁李斌發內部信指去年綜合表現未達標,並預告未來兩年競爭將超乎想像。蔚來跌4.6%。理想(02015.HK)跌4.4%,比亞迪(01211.HK)跌1.4%。 瑞銀引述蔚來管理層指,公司今年銷量目標為20萬輛,子品牌阿爾卑斯料於第三季推出首款車型,並在第四季開始交付。公司亦維持去年第四季15%毛利率指引,以及今年15%至18%毛利率指引,中長期目標毛利率指引介乎20%至25%。公司亦指,目標今年增加1,000個電池替換站,亦將依靠快閃店滲透二、三線城市。管理層表示,基於電池成本下降趨勢、供應商年度成本減少(受惠於車款組合規模效應及車款外觀設計改善),預料今年毛利率改善。 【跌股一千隻 海底撈彈高】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為16比25(上日21為比20),下跌股份1,065隻(跌幅2.4%),恆指成份股今日26隻股份上升,下跌股份52隻,升跌比率為32比63(上日為52比43);大市今日錄沽空119.3億元,佔可沽空股份成交額613.75億元的19.438%(上日為20.066%)。 海底撈(06862.HK)股價抽上8.4%收14.44元,成升幅最大藍籌股。麥格理發表報告指,海底撈在激烈的競爭和消費疲軟的背景下,雖然有減價促銷,但取得良好的銷售回升。此外,由於原材料成本下降,毛利率前景穩定。該行指公司於2023年下半年員工成本應該會有所上升,但仍在可控範圍內。該行予海底撈「跑贏大市」評級,下調目標價11%至22.5元。 藥明康德(02359.HK)全日股價上揚2.3%,藥明生物(02269.HK)彈高近6.3%收28元。大和發表報告指,藥明生物將擴大美國馬薩諸塞州伍斯特基地(生物藥原液十一廠,MFG11)產能至3.6萬升,以回應全球客戶對合約製造服務的需求增長。該廠房計劃於明年營運,2026年投入GMP生產,該行估計,今次增加的1.2萬升產能,相當於2026年美國產能增加40%,中國以外產能增加5%,總產能增加2%。(wl/u) ~
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