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惠譽料明年內房合約銷售或跌5%至10萬億人民幣
評級機構惠譽表示,由於中國房地產市場營商環境仍然充滿挑戰,因此預測明年度全國房地產合約銷售額將按年持平至下跌5%,達到10萬億至10.5萬億元人民幣。 惠譽預計,在政府政策的支持下,明年房地產市場將更趨向分化,一線城市及經濟活躍地區的樓市預料在未來12個月內逐步回穩,為長期復甦鋪路;而低線城市則需要更長的時間來消化未售庫存。 雖然當局出台一系列改善民營開發商融資渠道的支持措施,但惠譽相信有國企背景的開發商明年市場地位將會更加穩固,預期當局將致力阻截內房行業潛在引發的系統性風險,並將採取進一步措施來遏制任何負面干擾。
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