《即日市評》恆指三連升 科指揚4% 「蔚小理」搶上
美國上月非農新增職位少於預期,強化市場對聯儲局12月不再加息預期,美匯指數跌至六周低位,恆指今日再升,但萬八關得而復失。美國10月非農就業人口增15萬個(遜市場原預期18萬個),美股道指及納指上周五(3日)各升0.7%及1.4%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率降至4.593厘,美匯指數跌至104.84,道指期貨最新升35點或0.1%,納指期貨最新升0.13%。亞股造好,上證綜指全日升27點或0.9%收3,058點,深證成指升2.2%,內地創業板指數漲3.3%,而滬深兩市成交額共1.06萬億人民幣。
恆指高開249點後升幅擴大,曾升373點一度高見18,037點,全日升302點或1.7%,收17,966點,連升三日(累升864點或5.1%);國指全日升129點或2.1%,收6,182點;恆生科技指數升161點或4.1%,收4,098點,大市全日成交總額較上交易日增近27%至1,151.89億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入11.51億及21.99億元人民幣。港交所(00388.HK)揚3.2%,友邦(01299.HK)漲2.3%,而中移動(00941.HK)跌0.2%。
【恆指三連升 美團升半成】
科網股向上,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價上揚3.3%收312.6元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價漲2.4%,快手(01024.HK)及嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK)各揚7.1%及5%,美團(03690.HK)股價彈5.6%。花旗發表報告,預期美團11月底公布的第三季度業績,再次反映穩健表現,估計純利及EBITDA好過市場預期,主要受惠夏季出行及到店業務增長,食品配送收入符合預期,新業務虧損有望收窄。
花旗預期美團第三季收入762.3億元人民幣,按年升21.7%,非國際財務報告準則淨利潤53.1億人民幣,而市場預測收入為760億元人民幣,非國際財務報告準則淨利潤為53.7億元人民幣。該行又指,美團與Agoda的合作,反映公司對海外酒店業務的發展機會,將會更加積極。
【升股千三隻 「蔚小理」向上】
港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為31比13(上日32為比11),上升股份1,302隻(升幅3.7%),恆指成份股今日58隻股份上升,下跌股份22隻,升跌比率為73比28(上日為93比6);大市今日錄沽空155.16億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,019.42額億元的15.22%(上日18.086%)。
內房股抽升,旭輝(00884.HK)及恆大(03333.HK)股價各彈高20.8%及15.2%,融創中國(01918.HK)升11.6%,富力(02777.HK)及雅居樂(03383.HK)升9%及9.1%,萬科(02202.HK)彈7.2%。
中資電動車股向上,比亞迪(01211.HK)股價升3.4%。蔚來(09866.HK)及小鵬(09868.HK)均升逾7%,理想(02015.HK)升11.3%。天風證券發表報告指出,持續看好理想汽車第四季衝刺4萬輛月銷,根據產能與訂單情況判斷,年底或有望衝刺4.5萬的月銷量;年底重點為MEGA發布會和通勤NOA推進情況。
對於近期理想面臨大波動調整,該行認為核心原因或來自華為問界新產品的競爭,理想第三季若如該行預期單車利潤有所下滑,該行判斷市場或過度負面解讀下滑原因,所以後續估值或仍有波動。但該行再次強調理想和華為是正和博弈的競爭,仍具備大量來自燃油車市場的增量,共同搶佔BBA等高端合資品牌和傳統車企的份額。
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