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《即日市評》港股回升 小米創新高 領展彈逾6%
美聯儲局維持利率不變,連續兩次不加息符合預期,港股今日(2日)回升。美聯儲主席鮑威爾指仍考慮加息而非減息,並已將經濟衰退從預測中剔除,並指目前談論減息為時過早。美股道指及納指隔晚(1日)各升0.7%及1.6%;撰文之時,美國10年期債券孳息率降至4.728厘,美匯指數跌至106.35,道指期貨最新升80點或0.24%,納指期貨最新升0.6%。上證綜指全日跌13點或0.45%收3,009點,深證成指跌0.9%,而滬深兩市成交額共7,668億元人民幣。 港股今早高開180點後,曾升357點一度高見17,459點,其後升幅收窄,全日升128點或0.8%,收報17,230點;國指升51點或0.9%,收報5,911點;恆生科技指數升61點或1.6%,收報3,813點。大市全日成交總額711.24億元,滬、深港通南下交易全日分別淨流入14.37億及10.49億元人民幣。 【領展受追捧 小米創新高】 科網股走個別,騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價升0.6%收288.6元,阿里-SW(09988.HK)股價漲1.1%,美團-W(03690.HK)股價跌0.9%。小米-W(01810.HK)全日股價攀升6%收15.08元創逾一年半高。花旗發表報告,對小米啟動30日正面催化觀察,預期第三季盈利強勁,最新旗艦手機Mi 14及即將推出的產品,批發渠道銷售有支持,預料業績及毛利率理想將會推動股價,Redmi Note新型號支持明年上半年出貨量增長。該行將小米目標價由15.7元上調至17.1元,評級「買入」。 大和發表報告指,據研究機構Canalys數據,小米第三季智能手機出貨量可能好過市場預期,估計季度收入重返正面增長軌道,第三季按年持平為706億元人民幣,第四季按年增長11%至734億元人民幣。據 Canalys報告指出,第三季全球智能手機市場下滑1%,小米在新興市場的強勁表現,使其排名第三,出貨量達4,150萬部,實現2%的年增長。若據Canalys7月份報告指小米今年第二季出貨量達3,320萬部計,即小米今年第三季出貨量按季增長25%。 【市寬呈改善 地產股向好】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為22比19(上日17為比22),恆指成份股今日56隻股份上升,下跌股份20隻,升跌比率為70比25(上日為50比44);大市今日錄沽空114.64億元,佔可沽空股份成交額596.08億元的19.232%(上日20.291%)。 匯豐及中銀(02388.HK)維持5.875%最優惠利率不變,本地地產股向好,恆地(00012.HK)全日升4.6%,新地(00016.HK)及九龍倉置業(01997.HK)升1.9%及0.7%。領展(00823.HK)升6.7%為表現最佳藍籌股。 經絡按揭轉介首席副總裁曹德明表示,是次匯豐銀行宣布最優惠利率(P)維持不變,業主的供樓負擔未有再進一步增加,加上日前《施政報告》推出的多項新樓按措施,相信對現時疲弱的樓按市場相對正面。另一方面,聯儲局自去年開始透過多次大手加息打擊通脹,美國消費者物價指數(CPI)曾於今年6月份回落至3%,創逾兩年的新低,但8月及9月份CPI已回升至3.7%,通脹率與目標2%仍有一段距離。曹德明相信目前暫未有調頭減息的機會。美息高企下,料本港拆息將繼續維持高水平一段時間。 今日本港一個月HIBOR報4.88厘,自今年9月12日起一直維持4.5厘以上水平,料年內HIBOR將繼續高位橫行,在資金成本持續高企下。曹德明認為銀行將繼續密切注視市場動向,並會根據自身資金成本以及公司策略,不排除再多一次上調最優惠利率(P),幅度約0.125厘左右,其後港美息口將暫時見頂並維持高位一段時間。
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