植耀輝:美股料續反覆 恆指續窄幅上落
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股上周五(27日)個別發展,能源股下跌拖累道指及標普500指數表現,不過納指則造好。不過全周計,三大指數均跌超過2%。聯儲局將於本周議息,另周五美國亦將公布10月就業數據表現,預期美股本周或會較波動。
至於中港股市方面,A股上周表現反覆回升,周初上綜指一度再創今年新低,低見2,974點,深成指更跌至三年低位,不過內地增發一萬億元人民幣國債,周四及周五投資氣氛亦有所改善,最終上綜指重上3,000點,收報3,017點,一周計累升1.2%,至於深成指亦從三年低位反彈,收報9,770點,一周計累升2.1%。另值得留意的是,上周五兩市成交顯著增加至逾9,600億元人民幣。本周內地亦將公布PMI數據,表現對A股會有一定啟示。
港股亦受A股造好支持下,上周五(27日)顯著反彈並扭轉全周跌勢,最終恆指收報17,398點,一周計累升1.32%,科指亦升3.9%至3,806點。雖然港股有所反彈,但依然未見突破,並繼續於17,000至17,500點上落。由於本周變數眾多,除上文提到之因素外,本周亦會有不少重磅股公布業績,相信拉鋸格局將維持。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)
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港股20天線阻力大
耀才研究部稱,美股上周走勢轉弱,三大指數跌幅均超過2%。本周投資者除關注聯儲局議息會議外,亦須關注就業數據,以及蘋果公司(AAPL.US)季績表現。
港股上周五(27日)在A股支持下有好表現,恆指一度逼近17,500點水平,最終收報17,398點,累升1.3%,科指升幅則達到3.9%。A股上周則有不俗表現,滬深兩市雖一度創今年新低,不過周四及周五連續兩個交易日反彈,上綜指重上三千點大關之餘,全周計亦能扭轉跌勢,最終上綜指及滬成指分別累升1.2%及2.1%。本周內地將公布PMI經濟數據,港股亦會陸續有重磅股公布業績,今日(30日)便有匯控(00005.HK)公布第三季度業績表現。預期市況將繼續反覆拉鋸,於17,000至17,500點水平上落。
技術分析方面,恆指上周五顯著反彈,雖然最終重上10天線之上,惟20天線(17,483點)得而復失,反映該水平阻力不輕;不過MACD表現亦有所改善,若能成功突破17,500點,則後市有望進一步挑戰17,800點,亦即50天線附近水平。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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