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《經濟數據》美國9月標普製造業PMI初值升至48.9高預期 服務業活動續降至50.2遜預期
阿思達克 09-25 08:46
標普全球(S&P Global)最新採購經理指數(PMI)初值數據顯示,由於製造商和服務提供者均表示需求狀況疲軟,美國企業在第三季末表示產出普遍停滯。9月美國PMI綜合產出指數為50.1,較8月的50.2略降,遜於市場預期50.4。私營部門整體表現為2月以來最弱,並連續第四個月下跌,主因服務業進一步失去動力。 服務業商業活動指數由前值50.5,續降至50.2,創八個月低,市場原預期回升至50.7。由於高通脹和加息給客戶購買力帶來壓力,服務業公司的新業務大幅下降,新出口訂單亦再現下跌。 製造業PMI為48.9,略高於8月的47.9,顯示整個產業的表現進一步惡化,但高於市場預期48.2。然而,隨著產出和新訂單收縮的減弱,整體下降速度有所放緩,且幅度有限。產出指數由48.5,升至49.7,創兩個月高。 標普全球市場情報首席經濟學家Sian Jones表示,9月的PMI數據加劇了人們對升息和通膨上升後美國經濟需求狀況軌蹟的擔憂。儘管整體產出指數仍高於50大關,但也只是小幅上升,整體活動連續第二個月出現普遍停滯。服務業進一步失去動力,新訂單收縮加速。 但他指出,需求低迷並未轉化為9月的整體失業,因為尋找和留住員工的能力增強導致就業成長更快。儘管如此,由於有證據表明閒置產能不斷增加,而先前支撐工作量的積壓訂單不斷減少,因此候選人數量增加所帶來的招聘增長可能不會持續。 他亦表示,通膨壓力依然明顯,成本再次加速上漲。最近油價上漲導致燃料成本上漲,加上薪資上漲,推高了營運支出。儘管如此,疲軟的需求仍然阻礙了企業將更大的成本轉嫁給客戶的能力,本月收取價格通脹保持不變。
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