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《即日市評》恆指止連跌 科指漲2% 內險股上揚
恆指連跌三日(累跌658點或3.3%)後,今日(4日)受匯控(00005.HK)及科網股帶動回升。市場觀望美國將公布的非農就業數據,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.2%及0.1%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.19厘,美匯指數跌至102.57,道指期貨最新升61點或0.17%,納指期貨最新升0.5%。人行重申支持房地產平穩運行,發改委研儲備政策擴內需;人民幣即期升93點收報7.1802兌一美元,上證綜指今日升7點或0.23%收3,288點,深證成指升0.7%,而滬深兩市成交額共近1.05萬億元人民幣。 納斯達克中國金龍指數隔晚(3日)升3.5%,恆指今早高開250點,初段曾升436點一度高見19,857點,午後升幅曾收窄至40點見19,461點,全日升118點或0.6%,收19,539點;國指升80點或1.2%,收6,732點;恆生科技指數升90點或2.1%,收4,497點。大市全日成交總額1,144.13億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出9.26億及23.31億元人民幣。匯控全日升1.5%收63.85元,騰訊(00700.HK)、阿里-SW(09988.HK)、美團-W(03690.HK)股價各漲0.4%、2.1%及2.7%,嗶哩嗶哩-W(09626.HK)股價彈高6.6%。 恆指本周累跌377點或1.9%、國指本周累跌75點或1.1%、但恆生科指本周則累升30點或0.7%。發改委公布恢復和擴大消費20條涉汽車餐飲住房等,市場憧憬內地將推刺激經濟及資本市場措施,而惠譽周中下調美國主權債務評級至「AA+」,市場憂影響美金融市場及未來息口走向。 【恆指止連跌 內險股造好】 中國結算公司宣布10月起進一步降低股票類業務最低結算備付金繳納比例,部分券商股今日上揚,中金(03908.HK)及中信証券(06030.HK)全日股價各上揚1.6%及3%。中資券商股亦造高,中國平安(02318.HK)及國壽(02628.HK)各升1.7%及2.1%,中國太平(00966.HK)彈近6%。 中金發表報告指出,自7月政治局會議釋放一系列積極信號以來,投資者對資本市場預期有所改善,過去兩周中資壽險在資產端驅動下迎來修復,在此期間7月31日起今年熱銷的3.5%定價的儲蓄險下架,基於近期路演反饋,當前較多投資者對停售後負債端持有較為保守的預期(8及9月單月的新業務價值按年跌約20%至50%),並且認為此前增額終身壽業務佔比相對較多的太保及中國平安後續新業務增長壓力相對更大。 【市寬略改善 長和績後弱】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為22比19(上日18比22);恆指成份股今日44隻股份上升,下跌股份35隻,升跌比率為55比44(上日為38為60);大市今日錄沽空163.09億元,佔可沽空股份成交額981.6億元的16.614%(上日為19.66%)。 長實集團(01113.HK)全日股價微跌0.1%,但長和(00001.HK)股價下滑4.6%收44.15元。里昂表示,長和中期業績受到旗下歐洲3集團和港口業務收入減少拖累。公司今年上半年派息比率持平,每股中期股息按年下降10%至0.76元。上半年業績疲弱主因3 Group Europe營運成本上升、港口倉儲收入下降以及集裝箱吞吐量按年下降7%所致,抵銷零售業務增長。 里昂維持對長和「買入」投資評級,目標價65元。該行料長和進行具意義的股份回購及出售Cenovus Energy的可能性不大。
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