花旗:美股估值較高注意周期風險 中資股須待政策拉動信心
花旗環球財富投資亞太區投資策略主管彭程表示,今年為止美股牛市由幾隻超大型科技股引領,目前美股估值較高,須注意下半年周期風險,有選擇性地增持高質量中小型股,並建議增加生成性人工智能相關股票,如基建、服務、及應用方面的公司。
中資股方面,花旗銀行投資策略及環球財富策劃部主管廖嘉豪指仍須靠政策拉動市場信心。目前悲觀情緒已過,後續隨著政策落地或對中資股有較大支持。短期門檻較低的內房支持政策包括減息、下調貸款利率和增加現金補貼等。至於門檻要求較高的政策或於7月政治局會議後出台,如放寬首期比例及核心城市限購。
另外,該行預計今年本港樓價持平,意味第二季至第四季樓價下跌約7%,主要因為首季樓價上升過快或令潛在買家卻步、小陽春後二手成交量下跌比預期快、一手供應充足,開價比預期低。
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