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《即日市評》恆指反覆跌 北水流出 金山系逆市揚
美國眾議院通過提高債務上限法案,港股今日反覆上落。美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.4%及0.6%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.677厘,美匯指數跌至104.34,道指期貨最新升36點或0.11%,納指期貨最新升0.1%。中國5月財新製造業PMI升至50.9,高於市場預期49.5,人民幣即期跌114點收報7.1179兌一美元,上證綜指今日微升0.07點或收3,204點,深證成指升0.4%,滬深兩市成交額共9,866億人民幣。 恆指今早低開44點後掉頭向上,曾升231點一度高見18,465點,尾市輾轉向下,全日跌17點或0.1%,收18,216點;國指跌13點或0.2%,收6,149點;恆生科技指數升4點或0.1%,收3,630點。大市全日成交總額1,285.14億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流出2.44億及14.29億元人民幣。 百度(09888.HK)股價漲1.8%,金山軟件(03888.HK)及金山雲(03896.HK)股價各走高4.9%及16.8%。藥明生物(02269.HK)走高4.2%。新奧能源(02688.HK)全日股價彈高4.9%,匯豐研究指市場對新奧轉嫁成本憂慮已過度,指基本面鞏固,重申「買入」評級。 【藥明生物漲 AI概念股揚】 騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價各升近1.5%及跌0.8%,美團(03690.HK)股價走高2.4%收112.8元。摩根士丹利發表報告,指美團首季業績穩固,相信市場對到店業務競爭的擔憂,已反映在股價上。大摩引述美團管理層透露,展望今年全年預期收入可按年增長30%,非國際會計準則下經營利潤料實現逾20%增長。按業務劃分,外送銷量預計按年增長20%以上,單位利潤料改善。 京東(09618.HK)全日股價走高3.3%收130元。大摩報告引述京東管理層透露,由於大多數公司都在關注質量增長和效率提升,認為今年電商領域的競爭預期不會像市場想像中那麼激烈,對維持健康的利潤率仍有信心,主要來自於直銷業務利潤率提升,以及來自第三方業務更高的GMV貢獻所支持。該行預期,京東繼續取得核心品類的市場份額,另外受惠於低基數和3月份住房市場需求被壓抑,4月份家電GMV按年增幅達20%以上,預期下半年陸續推出的新智能手機型號,亦將提振智能手機需求。 【大市寬呈改善 恆地挫逾半成】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為20比18(上日11比31),恆指成份股今日22隻股份上升,下跌股份54隻,升跌比率為30比71(上日為8比92);大市今日錄沽空225.5億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,147.8億元的約19.6%(上日為21.9%)。 地產股走個別,長實集團(01113.HK)股價漲3.7%,新世界發展(00017.HK)下滑2.5%,恆地(00012.HK)股價走低5.4%。摩根士丹利發表報告,較高的利率對高負債房產公司的每股收益和股價不利,估計今年行業平均融資成本將按年增80個基點至3.9%,整體利息支出將按年增23%。融資成本每增加100個基點,新世界發展、恆地、九置(01997.HK)及嘉里建設(00683.HK)的盈利將按年減少介乎7%至32%。大摩表示將恆地評級由「與大市同步」下調至「減持」,新世界發展及嘉里則由「增持」降至「與大市同步」。
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