《即日市評》科網及油股領跌 MSCI「換馬」港股成交增至千七億
內地5月製造業及非製造業PMI均遜預期,市場憂經濟動力,港股今日向下。市場觀望美國國會表決上調債務上限,美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.2%及升0.3%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.652厘,美匯指數升至104.56,道指期貨最新跌81點或0.26%,納指期貨最新跌0.3%。中國5月官方製造業PMI降至48.8、5月官方非製造業PMI降至54.5遜預期,在岸人幣跌穿7.1關,上證綜指險守3,200點關,今日跌19點或0.61%收3,204點,深證成指跌0.7%,滬深兩市成交額共9,388億人民幣。
恆指低開180點後跌幅擴大,曾跌550點一度低見18,044點,尾市跌幅略收窄,全日跌361點或1.9%,收18,234點;國指跌120點或1.9%,收6,163點;恆生科技指數跌75點或2%,收3,626點。由於MSCI指數收市後更換成分股,大市全日成交總額按日增近81%至1,709.53億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入10.35億及4.31億元人民幣。MSCI季檢收市後生效,獲納入其中國指數的中遠海能(01138.HK)及京東物流(02618.HK)各跌4.1%及升3.3%。中資石油股受壓,中石油(00857.HK)及中海油(00883.HK)各急滑5.4%及4.2%。
恆指本月累跌1,660點或8.3%、國指本月累跌538點或8%、恆生科指本月累跌274點或7%。市場關注美國政界就提高債務上限談判進展,投資者亦關注中國經濟數據欠佳,美元匯價持續向上利淡港股表現。
【石油股捱沽 美團挫半成】
科網股走疲,騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價各下滑1.8%及1.1%,京東(09618.HK)走低3.2%,美團(03690.HK)全日下挫5.3%收110.2元。高盛發表報告指出,昨日與美團管理層進行會面,並引述美團管理層預期今年核心本地商業收入按年增長30%以上,估計未來數年核心本地商業EBIT年均複合增長率超過20%;將首季未使用的5億元人民幣預算,再投資至第二季的到店商家回贈/補貼預算上。公司管理層仍有信心實現今財年到店、酒店及旅遊交易總額(GTV)逾6,000億元人民幣的目標,並繼續預料2025財年到店業務利潤率達35%。
此外,高盛引述美團管理層預期今年食品外賣業務訂單量按年增長超過20%,每筆訂單的EBIT按年增長更高,支持到店業務再投資的戰略,該行維持美團目標價207元,予「買入」評級。
【跌股千三隻 領展績後弱】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為11比31(上日21比18),下跌股份1,316隻(跌幅3%),恆指成份股今日6隻股份上升,下跌股份70隻,升跌比率為8比92(上日為50比49);大市今日錄沽空343.68億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,567.97億元的約21.919%(上日為18.917%)。
領展(00823.HK)公布截至今年3月底止全年度業績後,全日基金單位價格下滑3.8%收45.5元。花旗發表報告指,領展2023財年業績略為低於預期,主要是由於高於預期的利息支出;全年每基金分派(DPU)2.7431元,按年跌10.3%;股息收益率為5.9%。雖然整體每基金分派略低於該行預測,但其經營業績依然強勁。該行認為,2023財年已考慮到近期供股的所有攤薄影響,這應會推動集團從2024財年開始實現穩定的每基金分派增長。
花旗提到,領展全年度收入按年增長5.4%至122.34億元。租金收入增長是由於香港零售物業租金上調7.1%、停車場收入增加以及新收購的內地/海外資產的貢獻,但被內地投資組合的負增長略微抵銷。該行予領展「買入」評級,目標價為59.5元。
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