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匯豐:內地經濟復甦利港商業前景 恆指年底目標22,490點
阿思達克 05-22 11:58
匯豐環球研究發表下半年亞洲經濟以及金融市場線上展望會。匯豐環球研究亞洲首席經濟師兼亞太區聯席主管范力民(Frederic Neumann)指,目前美國債務上限問題接近最後期限,由於美國政府債務違約並不符合雙方利益,認為美國政府與國會將達成協議。他預計,債務談判不會產生持久影響,認為聯儲局不會在明年年中前減息,意味本港利率將會在較長時間內保持高位。 匯豐環球研究大中華區首席經濟學家Jing Liu表示,該行上調本港全年GDP經濟增長預測至5%,料私人消費全年升25%,主要受消費券和內地旅客帶動。同時料全年訪港內地旅客數目可回復至疫情前三分之二水平,由於目前復甦水平較預期慢,意味下半年可大致回復至疫情前同期水平。 匯豐證券策略亞太區主管林傳英(Herald van der Linde)表示,內地經濟復甦有利本港商業前景,該行恆指年底目標為22,490點。另外,他提到,恆生指數或香港市場在很大程度上都對債券孳息率非常敏感,因此如果見到美國增長放緩或對美國通脹憂慮減少,導致債券孳息率下降,亦將對港股產生積極作用。
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