爲什麼美國GDP低於預期,隔夜美股還大漲了?
美國2023一季度實際GDP初值年化季環比1.1%,低於前值的2.6%及市場預期的1.9%,再次確認美國經濟處於繼續下行的週期過程中。但數據公佈當天,美債收益率顯著上行7BP,三大股指均出現明顯上漲。
廣發證券表示,雖然整體數據偏弱,但消費依然偏強,主要收到庫存投資拖累結構上不算太差;同日公佈的美國首次申請失業金人數超預期下行至23萬人(預期24.8萬人),反應就業市場仍韌性較強。
整體經濟情況不至於觸發典型的衰退交易,又可以牽制激進加息;同時美國科技股季報顯示收入超預期維持強勁增長,因而提振了股價 。
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