《瑞銀窩輪》減持陰霾下阿里跌 看淡可留意阿里熊證(53370)
週三晚美國公布3月CPI數據後,港股週四終低開失守20000點大關,其跌幅主要受ATM連累,週四最低跌至19885點近20天線位置。幸好開市未幾ATM跌幅收窄,恆指即重爬上20000點,觀察到10天線20279點有阻力及20天線19884點有支持。根據瑞銀即市資金流顯示,資金睇淡為多,牛熊比例大概為1(牛證)比3(熊證)。牛證重倉位置在位於中距離大位約19800點區間之牛證,而熊證重倉位置位於較近收回距離約20300點之熊證。如投資者看好恆指,可留意恆指認購(11668),行使價22400點,23年8月到期,有效槓桿約12倍。如投資者看淡恆指,可留意恆指認沽(11756),行使價18000點,23年6月到期,有效槓桿約13倍。如投資者看好恆指,可留意恆指牛證(58809),收回價19784點,23年9月到期,有效槓桿約34倍。如投資者看淡恆指,可留意恆指熊證(59839),收回價20688點,24年3月到期,有效槓桿約36倍。
早前比亞迪(01211)被股神巴菲特減持令比亞迪急跌,軟銀週三亦傳出再沽阿里(09988),令阿里週四最高跌5%左右。如投資者看淡阿里,可留意阿里熊證(53370),收回價105港元,25年1月到期,有效槓桿約8.6倍。如投資者看淡阿里,可留意阿里認沽(29108),行使價84.95港元,23年8月到期,有效槓桿約4.4倍。 如投資者看淡比迪,可留意比迪認沽(11673),行使價139.9港元,23年12月到期,有效槓桿約3.6倍。 如投資者看淡比迪,可留意比迪熊證(53554),收回價238港元,24年4月到期,有效槓桿約11倍。
美股方面有好消息,3月CPI按年升5%,升幅低過預期,市場卻沒有很樂觀,道指納指仍微跌。另外美國聯儲局發布3月加息的會議紀錄,雖有部份官員認為應要保持利率穩定以防銀行危機擴大,但還是重申將通脹率降至2%的目標,最後部份官員軟化同意加息0.25厘,令再次加息預期升溫。如投資者看淡納指,可留意納指熊證(49718),收回價14000點,24年12月到期,有效槓桿約11倍。 如投資者看淡納指,可留意納指認沽(10801),行使價10100點,23年9月到期,有效槓桿約7.8倍。如投資者看淡道指,可留意道指認沽(10803),行使價30000點,23年9月到期,有效槓桿約10倍。如投資者看淡道指,可留意道指熊證(49663),收回價35000點,24年9月到期,有效槓桿約21倍。
更多窩輪牛熊資訊:瑞銀認股證牛熊證網站: http://www.ubs.com/hkwarrants
輪證教學及巿況焦點短片:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKw86qy4eBAInmd52MND45Q?view_as=subscriber
瑞銀認股證牛熊證團隊
本產品並無抵押品。 如發行人無力償債或違約,投資者可能無法收回部份或全部應收款項。筆者為UBS AG的代表(作為證監會持牌人),並未持有相關上市公司的任何財務權益。本資料由瑞銀刊發,其並不構成買賣建議、邀請、要約或遊說。結構性產品價格可急升或急跌,投資者可能會蒙受全盤損失。過往表現並不反映將來表現。牛熊證備強制贖回機制而可能被提早終止,屆時 (i) N類牛熊證投資者將不獲發任何金額;而(ii) R類牛熊證之剩餘價值可能為零。投資前應瞭解有關風險,並諮詢專業顧問及查閱有關上市檔。UBS Securities Hong Kong Limited為結構性產品之流通量提供者,亦可能是唯一報價者或巿場參與者。(C) UBS 2023。版權所有。~
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