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《即日市評》恆指五連跌 比亞迪弱 海底撈逆市彈
今日為期指結算日,港股反覆偏軟及失守兩萬關。美國上周五公布1月核心個人消費支出(PCE)物價指數按月升0.6%,高於原預期升0.5%,市場關注美通脹高企,美股道指及納指上周五各跌1%及近1.7%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率處3.947厘,美匯指數升至105.12,道指期貨最新升105點或0.32%,納指期貨最新升0.53%。人民幣即期跌203點收報6.9645兌一美元,上證綜指跌9點或0.28%收3,258點,深證成指跌0.7%,滬深兩市成交額共7,536億人民幣。 恆指低開189點,其後曾倒升76點一度高見20,086點,其後再度下跌,尾市跌幅略收窄,全日跌66點或0.33%,收19,943點,連跌五個交易日(累跌943點或4.5%);國指全日跌33點或0.5%,收6,670點;恆生科技指數跌20點或0.52%,收3,989點。大市全日成交總額1,124.16億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入27.98億及42.51億元人民幣。中電(00002.HK)公布去年純利按年跌89%及第四期中期息維持1.21元,全日股價跌1.4%。 【百度有支持 比亞迪受壓】 科網股走個別,騰訊(00700.HK)無起跌,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價走低0.7%,快手(01024.HK)升近2.6%;百度(09888.HK)股價升近2%收134元。內媒報道,百度副總裁李碩表示,生成式AI和大模型的湧現,說明AI技術已發展到一個臨界點,相信中國AI市場也會迎來爆發性的需求增長。百度自己的生成式AI產品「文心一言」也很快會推出,未來「文心一言」將通過百度智能雲對外提供服務。 此外,國家廣電總局召開會議研究部署加強短視頻管理、防範未成年人沉迷等工作。會議要求,要以「正能量是總要求,管得住是硬道理,用得好是真本事」為遵循,全面抓好內容建設、融合傳播、優質供給、許可准入、日常監管、專項培訓、法規制度、算法管理等各項重點任務落實,促進短視頻健康發展,實現提質升級,為未成年人健康成長營造更加有利的網絡視聽環境,堅決維護未成年人權益。 比亞迪(01211.HK)股價下滑3.4%收215.4元。摩根士丹利發表報告指,據內媒報道部分比亞迪經銷商正將王朝系列現有型號減價,該行表示,比亞迪於門店推出額外促銷活動證實,該行相信公司較同業仍享較大需求彈性,減價仍應刺激訂單復甦。該行給予其目標價為220元,以及維持其評級為「與大市同步」。 【跌股千二隻 海底撈彈高】 港股主板今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為12比28(上日為10比30),下跌股份1,209隻(跌幅2.5%);恆指成份股今日22隻股份上升,下跌股份52隻,升跌比率為29比68(上日為21比76)。大市今日錄沽空218.88億元,佔可沽空股份成交額958.2億元的22.843%(上日為19.95%)。 海底撈(06862.HK)全日股價抽上13.7%收21.9元。海底撈發盈喜,與上一年度淨虧損41.61億人民幣相比,預計2022年止年度錄得淨利潤不低於13億人民幣,主要因「啄木鳥」計劃採取改進措施令餐廳營運效率提高。 中金發表報告,指海底撈預計去年淨利潤不低於13億元人民幣,按年扭虧。業績超出該行預期,主要由於下半年降本增效成果顯著。根據盈利預喜,考慮人工成本優化超預期,該行將去年盈利預測由1.3億元上調至13億元人民幣,上調今年盈利預測39%至32億元人民幣,上調明年盈利預測14%至44億元人民幣。該行維持海底撈「跑贏行業」評級,上調目標價10%至23港元。
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