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人保財險發佈6條“禁酒令”,5萬億板塊全線殺跌,外資半日流出板塊42億元

今日,白酒板塊跳空大跌。五糧液大跌超4%,洋河股份跌超%,貴州茅台跌1.68%,老白乾、口子窖等跌逾1%。酒ETF一度大幅殺跌超3%後有所收窄。

數據顯示,截至今日上午收盤,陸股通自己合計流出42億元,同花順白酒指數的買賣到力量,委賣大於委買,多空比為0.55.

 

 消息面上,有券商機構表示,今日白酒板塊回調幅度較大,主要系受昨晚傳出的人保財險“禁酒令”影響。市場擔心,此通知若非偽造,極有可能會被市場預期為更廣泛動作的前兆。

 

人保財險發佈6條“禁酒令”

 

據據藍鯨財經報道,中國人保財險黨委辦1月31日《關於印發“禁酒令”的通知》,對公司各級機構和員工發佈6條“禁酒令”,包括:

1. 嚴禁在內部公務活動期間飲酒;

2. 嚴禁在工作日(含上班時間、下班時間)和其他工作時間飲酒;

3. 外事工作確需飲酒的,須嚴格按照外事工作制度執行;

4. 嚴禁違規使用公款宴請和飲酒;

5. 嚴禁參加可能影響公正執行公務的宴請和飲酒;

6. 嚴禁在任何時間、任何地點、任何場合酗酒;嚴禁酒後駕車、尋釁滋事等違法行為。

對違法上述“禁酒令”的,公司將依規進行處分、問責。

人保方面對此表示,上述文件屬實,但是一份內部文件,不予解讀,以公開文件為主。

 

市場怎麼看白酒板塊

 

中信證券研報指出,2023年春節消費市場整體呈現較高景氣度,白酒動銷表現優秀,預計五糧液等名酒動銷實現20%以上增長。考慮到2-3月商務宴請、聚餐場景還將持續修復,預計2023Q1動銷將實現增長。

展望2023年,申萬研究團隊認為白酒板塊基本面先抑後揚,今年第一季度基本面仍然承壓,第二季度基本面反轉,全年改善趨勢明確,堅定看好白酒基本面復甦。

國泰君安表示,白酒與宏觀經濟及消費場景均具有較強關聯性,將充分受益於政策拉動和經濟復甦。受宏觀經濟影響,以及長期疫情對消費場景衝擊,白酒艱難度過三年調整期,隨着經濟逐步回升以及消費場景恢復,白酒有望實現量價齊升。

國泰君安預計,最快從23年下半年開始,白酒有望邁入1-2年的業績上行期,核心驅動因素是居民收入實質性回暖及行業去庫存,板塊在低基數下開啟新一輪業績上行週期

就目前數據來看,白酒消費在今年春節期間表現較為亮眼。

餓了麼春節消費數據顯示,在“春節期間最受歡迎的TOP5年貨”中,國產白酒位列第三,訂單月環比增長超2倍。酒類電商平台1919公佈的數據顯示,年貨節期間,白酒銷量同比上漲36.01%,五糧液、貴州茅台、瀘州老窖、衡昌燒坊、劍南春、西鳳酒等均有單品進入銷量TOP10。

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