《即日市評》港股再跌 匯控、百度及內房股弱
受金融股、阿里(09988.HK)及美團(03690.HK)跌勢拖累下,港股今日向下。英倫銀行及歐洲央行均加息半厘,美股隔晚走個別,道指跌0.11%及納指升3.3%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.398厘,美匯指數升至101.88,蘋果(AAPL.US)、Alphabet(GOOG.US)及亞馬遜(AMZN.US)業績遜預期,道指期貨最新跌77點或0.23%,納指期貨最新跌2%。中國1月財新服務業PMI回升至52.9(勝市場原預期51)。上證綜指跌22點0.68%收3,263點,深證成指跌0.6%,滬深兩市成交額共9,146億人民幣。
恆指今早低開147點後跌勢持續,一度跌498點曾低見21,459點,午後跌幅收窄,全日收報21,660點,跌297點或1.36%;國指跌118點或1.58%,收報7,387點;恆生科技指數跌62點或1.33%,收報4,634點。大市全日成交總額1,299.6億元,滬、深港通南下交易全日分別淨流入4.54億及10.7億元人民幣。阿里及美團股價各跌2.7%及2.2%,百度(09888.HK)跌4.4%,中國平安(02318.HK)下滑4.1%。
恆指本周累跌1,028點或4.5%、國指本周累跌386點或5%、恆生科指本周累跌179點或3.7%。美聯儲局周四晚加息0.25厘,該局主席鮑威爾稱美國初現通縮,但亦指勞工市場繼續失衡,未來或再有兩次加息。
【匯控渣打走弱通關概念股揚】
銀行股走疲,匯控(00005.HK)全日股價下滑3%收55.9元,渣打(02888.HK)股價跌2.1%。英倫銀行昨晚宣布,加息0.5厘至4厘,創15年高位符合預期。英倫銀行暗示利率可能已經見頂,指今年的經濟衰退較此前預期溫和,除非有新跡象表明通脹將在過高水平維持的情況下,才需要進一步加息。
內地與本港下周一起通關不設人數限制並取消核酸檢測,會開放全部出入境口岸包括羅湖等,莎莎國際(00178.HK)全日股價漲3.4%,香港中旅(00308.HK)彈高6.6%。新地(00016.HK)全日股價升近1.9%。新地旗下15間商場針對旅客加碼推出情人節消費禮遇及大派情人節禮品包,預料羅湖、皇崗口岸通關初期,加上配額制度、口岸入境預約安排及核酸檢測程序相繼取消,可望刺激人流按年升10%至15%。
【下跌股千一隻內房股有沽壓】
港股今日市寬轉轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為15比27(上日22為比20),下跌股份1,147隻(跌幅2.4%);恆指成份股今日13隻股份上升,下跌股份61隻,升跌比率為17比80(上日為37比61)。大市今日錄沽空196.74億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,130.29億元的17.406%(上日為17.373%)。
內房股今日受壓,碧桂園(02007.HK)全日跌3.8%,同系碧服(06098.HK)挫7.3%,合景泰富(01813.HK)跌4.4%。花旗發表報告,預計內房股去年盈利處五年低點,行業核心利潤按年跌57%,其中超過17間發盈警,數間錄得虧損,這是由於資產減值、平均售價折扣加劇利潤壓縮、利潤也將受到非核心資產註銷和外匯損失所影響、銷售下降致收入按年跌10%及未入賬銷售減少。
在去年11月及12月政策驅動的股價反彈之後,該行預計,行業於今年2月會因盈利下調和盈利預警而溫和回落,然後在3月或4月出現由銷售帶動的反彈,並在下半年由平均售價推動而反彈,這意味著即將推出的信貸和需求支持政策組合可能會提振銷售,可能會在今年2至4月轉為按年正增長,並出現早期復甦信號。本月該行更傾向先選擇防守性高、具溫和擴張、擁有充足的土地儲備的內地房企。
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