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《即日市評》恆指重上兩萬二關 商湯、百度及賭股受捧
恆指連跌兩日(累跌846點或3.7%)後,今日受科網股帶動回升,重上兩萬二關。美國公布去年第四季度勞工成本指數連續第三個季度放緩,按季增長1%(但低於預期的1.1%),市場憧憬美通脹放緩,道指及納指隔晚各升近1.1%及1.7%,而投資者亦觀望美聯儲局今晚公布議息結果;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率跌至3.474厘,美匯指數跌至101.97,道指期貨最新跌85點或0.25%,納指期貨最新跌0.14%。中國1月財新製造業PMI升至49.2(市場原預期49.8)。上證綜指點升0.9%收3,284點,深證成指升1.3%,滬深兩市成交額共1萬億人民幣。 恆指今早高開78點,初段曾倒跌138點一度低見21,703點,其後回升,並以全日高位22,072點收市,升229點或1.1%。國指升135點或1.8%,收7,560點;恆生科技指數升153點或3.4%,收4,695點。大市全日成交總額1,555.74億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入2.71億及3.94億元人民幣。 汽車股有支持,比亞迪(01211.HK)及吉利(00175.HK)股價各揚6.1%及5.1%,小鵬汽車(09868.HK)及理想汽車(02015.HK)各彈高10.3%及9.4%。 【車股有支持 商湯百度強】 科網股回升,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)全日股價揚2.2%收110元,美團(03690.HK)股價走高3.2%收180.1元。中金指,根據美團假期報告生活服務業正加速回歸,2023年元旦假期間美團用戶日均消費規模相比2019年增長75%,春節假期前六天日均消費規模按年2019年春節增長66%。該行認為美團今年第二季本地線下消費復甦將更為明顯,疊加行業本身仍在成長周期中,公司到店業務或能較輕鬆地取得按年50%以上的高增長。 商湯(00020.HK)股價上揚3.5%收2.94元,百度(09888.HK)全日股價急彈近9%收144.3元。騰訊研究院昨發布《AIGC發展趨勢報告2023:迎接人工智能的下一個時代》指出,AIGC的商業化應用將快速成熟,市場規模會迅速壯大。報告引用根據6pen預測稱,未來五年10%至30%的圖片內容由AI參與生成,有望創造超過600億人民幣以上市場規模。也有國外商業咨諮機構預測,2030年AIGC市場規模將達到1,100億美元。 【跌股千三隻 濠賭股受捧】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率為31比11(上日15為比26),上升股份1,303隻(升幅近3.7%);恆指成份股今日59隻股份上升,下跌股份15隻,升跌比率為78比20(上日為14比86)。大市今日錄沽空310.97億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,393.62億元的22.314%(上日為16.247%)。 部份濠賭股受追捧,銀娛(00027.HK)、美高梅中國(02282.HK)及新濠國際(00200.HK)股價各上揚3.7%、4.7%及4.9%。瑞信發表報告指,澳門1月博彩總收入(GGR)按年增長83%至116億澳門元,勝於市場預期的87億澳門元,惟符合該行預期。按每日計算,博彩總收入按月增長83%至3.74億澳門元,是疫情前水平的46%。該行估計,在春節高峰期間,每日博彩收入約為6億元或新冠病毒爆發前水平的六成,而中場博彩總收入在同類基礎上達到新冠病毒爆發前水平的約六至七成。 該行認為,澳門博彩板塊近期應受到利好消息和博彩總收入持續改善的支持,但隨著上述暫時性因素正常化,行業可能面臨下行風險。
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