《即日市評》恆指止連升 內房股逆市造高
恆指昨(5日)連升四個交易日(累升1,311點或6.6%)後,市場觀望美國今晚公佈去年12月非農就業數據,港股今日(6日)反覆偏軟。美國去年12月私人企業新增職位23.5萬個遠超市場預,市場關注美聯儲局未來加息步伐,美股道指及納指各跌1%及1.5%;執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.725釐,美匯指數升至105.31,道指期貨最新升40點或0.12%,納指期貨最新升0.02%。上證綜指全日升2點或0.08%收3,157點,深證成指升0.3%,滬深兩市成交額共近8,381億人民幣。
恆指今早高開168點,早段曾升230點見21,282點,午後曾轉跌189點一度低見20,862點,全日跌60點或0.3%,收20,991點;國指跌28點或0.4%,收7,143點;恆生科技指數跌63點或1.4%,收4,431點。大市全日成交總額1,482.75億元,滬、深港通南下交易淨流入2.35億及8.87億元人民幣。騰訊(00700.HK)及阿裏-SW(09988.HK)股價各升近0.5%及2%,但美團-W(03690.HK)吐4.2%。渣打(02888.HK)股價漲近4.5%,第一阿布扎比銀行承認曾考慮併購渣打,但指已放棄有關計劃。
恆指本週累升1,210點或6.1%、國指本週累升438點或6.5%、恆生科指本週累升302點或7.3%。美聯儲局近日公佈去年12月中議息政策會議紀錄,顯示全部官員同意當局應該放慢大幅加息的步伐,主席鮑威爾稱考慮下次會議加息0.25釐。
【渣打有支持 內房股造高】
內房股今日造好,碧桂園(02007.HK)升5.9%,新城發展(01030.HK)升6.8%。人行及中國銀保監會近日發佈通知,決定建立首套住房貸款利率政策動態調整機制。新建商品住宅銷售價格環比和按年連續三個月均下降的城市,可階段性維持、下調或取消當地首套住房貸款利率政策下限。
摩根士丹利發表報告,認爲新舉措反映監管機構正在將政策重點轉向支持增長。該行預計未來幾個月當局將進一步放寬政策,例如降低一線城市第二套住房的首付比例,以及放寬大多數二線城市的購房限制。這些措施應有助於重建購房者的信心,並推動房地產銷售在第二季中加快復甦。
【信義光能彈 市寬見轉弱】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲20比21(上日25爲比17);恆指成份股今日29只股份上升,下跌股份44只,升跌比率爲38比58(上日爲63比34);大市今日錄沽空228.1億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,337.6億元的17.1%(上日爲17.485%)。
信義光能(00968.HK)全日股價抽高6.7%,新特能源(01799.HK)揚近6.9%、新天綠色能源(00956.HK)及協鑫科技(03800.HK)各升6.4%及5%。大和發表報告指,據《上海有色金屬網》報道,多間內地太陽能組件生產商現時對市場需求更有信心,在計算晶圓價格的穩定性,及今年2月的訂單情況後,生產商將於本月提升生產目標。
不過,大和提議投資者留意兩個行業風險,包括在價格下行時生產商需面對庫存減值的損失,加上若額外太陽能需求來自較低利潤規模的公用市場,有關增產或未能爲組件生產商帶來額外利潤。該行重申對內地太陽能行業的「中性」看法。
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