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高盛:美国未来12个月有35%机会陷入经济衰退
阿思达克 11-08 08:38
外电报道,高盛(GS.US)首席经济师Jan Hatzius表示,虽然联储局积极收紧利率兼且地缘政治存在不确定性,但美国经济仍有有机会避免衰退,预计未来12个月衰退的机会为35%。 他称,名义工资增长放缓是经济可以软著陆的主因,同时供应商交付与支付价格、二手车拍卖价格以及新租约叫价等各种价格指标显示有理由相信通胀将会降低。 不过他提到,虽然美国可能不会出现衰退,但欧元区及英国则难以避免,预计欧元区可能会在第四季度开始衰退,而英国则已在上个季度开始。
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