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《即日市評》恆指再升 阿裏有支持 百威亞太績後彈
受科網及金融股帶動下,恆指今日持續向上。微軟(MSFT.US)及Alphabet(GOOGL.US)季績遜預期股價下挫,美股道指及納指隔晚各微升不足0.1%及跌2%,執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至4.059釐,美匯指數跌至109.75。瑞信宣佈集資40億瑞郎及進行全面改革,道指期貨最新升180點或0.56%,納指期貨最新升0.08%,美元兌日圓回落至145.92,摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.41%報96.51。人民幣即期收跌256點報7.2081兌一美元,上證綜指全日跌16點或0.55%收2,982點,深證成指跌0.6%,滬深兩市成交額9,239億人民幣。 恆指今早高開403點,初段曾升515點高見15,833點,其後升幅收窄,尾市一度低見15,410點,全日升110點或0.72%,收15,427點;國指升25點或0.49%,收5,242點;恆生科技指數升32點或1.11%,收2,989點。大市全日成交總額1,229.36億元。滬、深港通南下交易淨流入28.44億及36.44億元人民幣。大唐發電(00991.HK)上季續蝕6.36億人民幣,全日股價瀉29.5%。中國電力(02380.HK)、華能(00902.HK)及華電國際(01071.HK)各跌8.8%、8.9%及11%。 【恆指再上升 阿裏有支持】 科網股上升,阿裏巴巴(09988.HK)升4.1%報64.85元,騰訊(00700.HK)升0.8%,美團(03690.HK)升1.6%報131.8元。匯豐環球研究發表報告表示,該行近月與歐資、美資及亞洲資本的投資者進行溝通及反饋,就近期中資科網股拋售潮之中,持長倉客戶「非常低配」H股,而對衝基金客戶亦等待中國重新開放經濟時出現的撈底機會,預計短期反彈或擠壓。尤其那些接觸內地互聯網行業的長倉客戶稱不願在短期內增加持倉,惟該行料市場或會重估行業折現率。 根據中資科網股的自由現金流收益率、股東回報前景、估值、監管風險和盈利韌性進行評估,該行料給予「買入」評級的中資科網股未來約平均回報可上升12%,料外賣、電子商務板塊將可跑贏大市呈反彈。該行又指,如果內地宏觀經濟和消費者信心反彈,對與實體經濟聯繫最緊密的子行業表現更有利,如電子商務(如阿裏巴巴)、外賣(如美團)和廣告(如騰訊)的優質股份在這方面應該表現更好。 【市寬略轉弱 百威亞太彈】 港股今日市寬略轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲22比17(上日爲28比12);恆指成份股今日37只股份上升,下跌股份33只,升跌比率爲51比45(上日爲68比30);大市今日錄沽空202.62億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,067.74億元的18.976%(上日爲18.186%)。 百威亞太(01876.HK)全日股價彈高6.8%收17.94元。高盛發表報告指,百威亞太於9月底止第三季銷售及EBITDA略勝預期,正常化EBITDA達到5.93億美元,按年跌1.6%,略勝於該行預期的5.62億美元。在原材料成本壓力及中國業務經營去槓桿的拖累下,期內正常化純利按年跌14%至3.03億美元,亦高於高盛早前預測的2.96億美元及市場預期的3.01億美元。 高盛指,亞太地區西部地區復甦超出預期,主要受到印度市場帶動;但中國仍持續受到疫情影響,中國市場分部收入增長1.6%,銷量增長3.7%,平均售價則下降2%。
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