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瑞銀汪濤:維持今年內地GDP增長2.7%預測 料明年次季開始政策支援加碼
阿思達克 10-17 10:04
中共二十大昨日(16日)召開,國家主席習近平在大會上發表報告。就二十大會議報告,瑞銀亞洲經濟研究主管、首席中國經濟學家汪濤預計,內地從明年第二季開始政策支援持續加碼,同時維持對今年和明年全年GDP增速預測爲2.7%和4.6%。 她又預計未來十年內地潛在GDP增速或在4%至4.5%之間,2030年之後則進一步放緩。 另外,汪濤認爲,內地現行防疫政策不會很快出現重大調整,其基準預測假設明年3月全國兩會之後防疫形勢可能明顯好轉,不過也存在現行政策維持更長時間的可能性。(ek/k) ~
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