《即日市評》恆指「三連跌」累挫871點 美團及金沙沽壓重
市場憂美聯儲未來進取加息及俄烏衝突加劇,港股今日持向下。美國上周五(7日)9月非農新增職位26.3萬個,高於市場預期的25萬個,失業率下降至3.5%(市場原預期為3.7%),勞工市場持續收緊,市場估計美聯儲將繼續激進收緊貨幣政策,據芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的FedWatch利率期貨工具顯示,市場預料美聯儲局於今年11月會議加息0.75厘的機會為77.6%。執筆之時,美國10年期債券孳息率升至3.888厘,美匯指數最新升至113.25,道指期貨最新跌159點或0.54%,納指期貨最新跌0.79%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.2%報96.9。人民幣即期收跌509點報7.1440兌一美元,上證綜指於長假後復市全日跌50點或1.7%收2,974點,深證成指跌2.38%,滬深兩市成交額6,280億人民幣。
恆指低開290點後跌幅擴大,曾跌565點一度低見17,174點,全日跌523點或2.95%,收17,216點,連跌三個交易日(累跌871點或4.8%);國指全日跌193點或3.19%,收5,880點;恆生科技指數跌140點或3.98%,收3,398點。大市全日成交總額951.05億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入6.26億及9.58億元人民幣。
【恆指「三連跌」 美團有沽壓】
科網股走弱,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價走低近3.3%,騰訊(00700.HK)股價跌2.5%,而美團(03690.HK)股價下挫6.7%,攜程(09961.HK)及同程旅行(00780.HK)股價各下滑6.9%及8.1%。摩根士丹利發表報告表示,中國內地今年國慶假期(10月1日至7日)的旅客人數4.22億人次,按年下跌18%(相當於2019年61%水平),按降幅計亦弱於今年9月的中秋假期旅客按年跌17%,並估計在中共舉行二十大會議後,內地旅客於11月才會恢復復甦。
該行指,國慶假期旅客遜遜預期,相信是當局更嚴格的旅行控制,以及10月3日起新冠疫情重燃(內蒙古、天津市、四川、重慶市、新疆、廣東省、湖北省、上海市、北京市等)。在短途旅行的推動下,酒店板塊的表現優於交通板塊,佔攜程(TCOM.US)總訂單量的65%。根據交通運輸部的數據,鐵路和航空旅客數量分別按年下降42%和49%(分別為2019年水平的35%和37%)。
【跌股千四隻 金沙中國挫】
港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票升跌比率為8比32(上日為9比30),下跌股份1,414隻(跌幅近4%);恆指成份股今日4隻股份上升,下跌股份68隻,升跌比率為5比93(上日為10比89)。大市今日錄沽空233.4億元,佔可沽空股份成交額785.29億元的29.721%(上日為28.801%)。
賭股金沙中國(01928.HK)跌9.2%,新濠國際(00200.HK)及澳博(00880.HK)各跌逾7%,銀娛(00027.HK)、永利澳門(01128.HK)及美高梅中國(02282.HK)各跌4.5%至5.7%。航空股亦向下,南航(01055.HK)股價跌5.7%,國泰(00293.HK)股價走低2.9%。
據《人民日報》發表題為「增強對當前疫情防控政策的信心和耐心」的評論文章,指新冠疫情尚未遠去,大考仍在繼續。實踐深刻啟示「躺平」沒有出路,堅持就是勝利。保持戰略定力,堅定必勝信心,堅持科學精準、動態清零,慎終如始抓好疫情防控工作,一定能維護和鞏固來之不易的疫情防控成果,有力有效保障人民群眾生命健康和經濟社會發展。
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