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《大行報告》花旗下調恆指今年底目標至20,000點 明年底目標23,000點
花旗發表研究報告,預測今年第四季至明年首季美聯儲利率將進一步上調共150個基點,當中估計今年11月及12月預期將分別上調75及50個基點,預料明年十年期美國國債收益率將上升至4.5%至5%,回到接近2008 年環球金融危機前水平。 相應地花旗將恆指今年底目標從23,456點下調至20,000點(相當預測市盈率11.1倍),並預期明年底將見23,000點(相當預測市盈率11.3倍)。該行指出,恆指今年每股盈利預測已下調至下跌5.2%,而明年預測則維持為上升14.4%。考慮到疫情下香港較內地更早放寬邊境防疫措施,目前更看好H股而不是A股。 花旗重點推介以下股份,指目前股價已低於2009年全球金融危機前的水平,包括中國石油(00857.HK)、中國移動(00941.HK)、中國聯通(00762.HK)、電能(00006.HK)、中國人壽(02628.HK)和恆隆地產(00101.HK),全部給予「買入」評級,目標價分別為4.4元、68.8元、4.8元、57元、17元及19.3元。
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