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郭思治: 大市在反覆中不斷往下尋月內之新低
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(19日)進一步受壓,恆指亦順勢續創月內之新低,大市昨早段先低開66點至18,695點,其後一直在此水平左近拉鋸,反覆上落於18,494點至18,697點之間,單從技術上看,本月大市在先高後低之形態主導下,月內之波幅已稍擴闊至1,345點,恆指暫是由1日之高位19,839點跌至19日之低位18,494點,由於1,345點之波幅相對仍細,或仍未能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,只要先高後低之形態不變,大市或仍會進一步往下尋月內之新低,從而拉闊月內之波幅以滿足所需。 另外,大市亦將開始踏進9月份之下旬,即是說,即月期指轉倉及結算等相關活動將漸主導大局,以目前大市之形態看,淡友該已手執主控權,故一眾好倉大戶如欲作反擊,從而令大市漸擺脫進一步尋底之弱態,首要的條件是恆指必需先成功重越10天線(約在19,012點左近)並穩守其上,否則,整個反覆續尋底之弱態不變,目前且先看恆指會否進一步下試今年3月15日之低位18,235點。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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