《即日市評》美匯指數升穿107 恆指靠穩 快手及東方海外彈高
港股今日反覆靠穩。美聖路易斯聯儲行長布拉德表示目前傾向於下月加息0.75厘,三潘市聯儲行長戴利認為下月加息半厘或0.75厘都是合適的做法,美股道指及納指昨各升0.1%及0.2%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至2.926厘,美匯指數升至107.71,美股道指期貨最新跌195點或0.58%,納指期貨最新跌近1%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.15%至101.24,今早人民幣中間價下調263點報6.8065兌一美元創近兩年低,人民幣即期收跌163點報6.8088兌一美元,上證綜指今日跌19點或0.6%收3,258點,深證成指跌近1.3%,滬深兩市成交額共1.12萬億人民幣。
恆指今早低開107點後向上,曾升134點一度高見19,898點,其後曾再度下跌,尾市回升並收復失地,全日升9點或0.05%,收19,773點;國指升19點或0.29%,收6,719點;恆生科技指數跌不足1點或0.01%,收4,192點。大市全日成交總額821.66億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入2.64億及18.27億元人民幣。東方海外(00316.HK)全日股價揚6.5%,上半年純利按年升1倍及中期息連特別息每股共派6美元。
恆指本周累跌402點或2%、國指本周累跌137點或2%、恆生科指本周累跌157點或3.6%。市場關注內地經濟增長表現,人行本周初下調1年期中期信貸便利政策利率,而國聯儲局會議紀錄顯示委員認為將繼續調高利率以遏制通脹,美匯指數升越107水平,而匯豐銀行昨公布上調新客H按封頂息率至P-2.25%,渣打下周三起上調H按封頂息率至P-2.5%。
【網易績後弱 快手股價揚】
科網股走個別,快手(01024.HK)股價彈高近4.7%收74元,中金料快手或有機會獲納入恆指成份股;美團(03690.HK)走低0.7%,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價升1.4%,而網易(09999.HK)公布業績後股價下挫6.3%收133元。瑞銀發表報告指出,網易第二季經營溢利強勁,主要受其高毛利PC遊戲業務收入增長貢獻所推動。該行料網易第三季及第四季的遊戲總收入按年增長持續放緩至10.8%及3.4%,相較於第一季及第二季分別為增長15.3%及16.1%,維持對其「買入」評級,H股目標價由192元下調至185元。
藥明生物(02269.HK)股價挫4.9%收68.2元。高盛下調藥明生物今年至2024年各年盈利預測分別5.1%、3.3%及3.1%,反映新製造產能的提升及股份報酬提高,反映略為較低毛利預期,但料可被收入增加所抵銷。該行又維持對藥明生物股份「買入」評級,目標價117元。
【市寬略好轉 電力股受捧】
港股今日市寬略好轉,主板股票升跌比率19為18(上日為12比27);恆指成份股今日35隻股份上升,下跌股份31隻,升跌比率為51比45(上日為19比77)。大市今日錄沽空163.69億元,佔可沽空股份成交額698.12億元的23.447%(上日為22.17%)。
中資電力股向上,華潤電力(00836.HK)股價搶升近6.1%,華能(00902.HK)股價揚8.6%。中金發表報告表示內地截至8月15日,此次高溫事件已經持續64天,為1961年以來持續時間最長(超過2013年的62天),指本輪限電是極端高溫少雨天氣下的季節性、臨時性、區域性措施。該行指隨著氣溫的回落,預計本輪限電對於工業生產的整體影響有限,遠小於去年同期。
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