《即日市評》美債孳息上升 恆指靠穩 港銀股造好
市場關注美聯儲局本周議息結果及未來加息步伐,港股今日反覆上落。市場憂慮美聯儲進取加息將把經濟推向衰退,美股道指及納指各跌2.8%及4.7%,高盛指就市場傳出美聯儲官員可能考慮在本周議息會議上加息0.75厘,該行最新估計聯儲局6月及7月的政策會議每次均會加息0.75厘;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至3.31厘,美匯指數升至104.66,美股道指期貨最新升168點或0.55%,納指期貨最新升1%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數升0.28%至102.66,人民幣即期收跌17點報6.7358兌一美元,上證綜指今日升33點或1.02%收3,288點,深證成指升0.2%,滬深兩市成交額共1.1萬億人民幣。
恆指低開284點,其後曾倒升107點一度見21,175點,全日升0.41點或不足0.01%,收21,067點;國指跌6點或0.09%,收7,333點;恆生科技指數跌2點或0.06%,收4,595點。大市全日成交總額1,330.47億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入30.4億及34.08億元人民幣。
科網股走個別,美團(03690.HK)股價揚3.3%,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價走低2.5%。中證監澄清要求外資投行不要給高管過高薪酬的消息不實。中資券商股午後抽高,中信建投(06066.HK)及光大證券(06178.HK)各升5.9%及12.6%,中信証券(06030.HK)升3.7%。
【恆指反覆靠穩 港銀股有支持】
市場關注美聯儲局加息0.75厘的可能性,港銀股今造好,匯控(00005.HK)全日股價漲1.7%收49.55元,渣打集團(02888.HK)股價揚近2%,中銀香港(02388.HK)股價更走高4.8%收30.55元。花旗發表報告表示,舉行了亞洲區銀行業投資者會議,香港銀行中有中銀香港、匯控旗下匯豐銀行及渣打的代表出席了該行的會議。就香港業務而言,香港銀行代表料淨息差按季繼續溫和擴張,因為平均1個月的香港銀行同業拆息(HIBOR)按季持平,國際性香港銀行的淨息差則受到1個月倫敦銀行同業拆借利率(按季升61個基點)、和1個月英鎊隔夜指數平均值(SONIA)(按季升43個基點)的提振。
花旗認為,香港本土銀行的核心撥備前利潤(PPoP)按季和按年均在改善,此支持了該行對香港銀行業的正面看法。
【市寬略為改善 新東方在線飆】
港股今日市寬略改善,主板股票的升跌比率為15比23(上日9比31),恆指成份股今日24隻股份上升,下跌股份41隻,升跌比率為35比59(上日為2比93);大市今日錄沽空234.75億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,119.97億元的20.96%(上日為19.994%)。
新東方在線(01797.HK)續見炒作,全日股價飆升23.2%。大和發表報告表示,新東方在線本月以來股價顯著抽升,將其歸功於其直播電商業務,抖音的「東方優選」頻道自6月開始「火爆」。從6月9日起,該頻道在周末增加300萬粉絲。據了解,該公司並沒有花錢來獲取流量,而是受益於抖音推薦系統的曝光率增加,因為主持人在宣傳食品的同時教導觀眾說英語的視頻在網上意外「爆紅」。
大和認為市場開始將公司更多地視為一家互聯網公司,而不是一家在線教育公司。由於該行認為現在判斷該頻道的受歡迎程度是否可持續還為時過早,現不建議投資者在直播業務取得初步成功的情況下追入該股票,予「跑輸大市」投資評級。
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