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《即日市評》憂美進取加息 恆指「三連跌」 阿裏及內房股受壓
市場擔心美國高脹高企,市場憂慮聯儲局將會更進取地加息,港股今日持續向下。美國上週五(10日)公佈5月通脹8.6%高於市場預期,再創逾40年新高,美股道指及納指上週五各跌2.7%及3.5%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至3.23釐,美匯指數升至104.57,美股道指期貨最新跌611點或2%,納指期貨最新跌3%。日圓兌美元曾跌穿135水平創24年新低,摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.27%至102.69,人民幣即期收跌414點報6.7341兌一美元。上證綜指今日跌29點或0.89%收3,255點,深證成指跌0.3%,滬深兩市成交額共1.09萬億人民幣。 /21067 恆指低開643點,跌幅曾收窄至486點,其後跌幅曾擴大至812點一度低見20,993點,全日跌738點或3.39%,收21,067點,連跌三個交易日(累跌947點或4.3%);國指全日跌269點或3.54%,收7,340點;恆生科技指數跌227點或4.72%,收4,598點。大市全日成交總額1,593.92億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入32.77億及33.46億元人民幣。 報道指新東方「雙語帶貨」火熱,單日銷售額逾千萬人幣,新東方(09901.HK)全日股價炒高13.1%,新東方在線(01797.HK)漲近40%。 【恆指「三連跌」 阿裏股價挫】 科網股受壓,阿裏巴巴(09988.HK)股價挫近8%報103.8元,騰訊(00700.HK)跌4.9%報377元,美團(03690.HK)跌6.5%報188.2元,小米(01810.HK)跌3.8%報11.72元。瑞銀髮表報告表示,料螞蟻集團上市的時間表取決於公司能否取得更多金融、金融科技法規的相關許可證的批準,該行認爲螞蟻集團重啓IPO可能屬爲時過早,因爲公司仍處於重組過程中。 另一方面,瑞銀認爲螞蟻仍然存在幾個問題,第一是其消費金融子公司的股權融資被暫停;其股東結構不明確;第二是螞蟻集團被要求縮減其消費貸款餘額,料此需要時間。從股票估值角度來看,其借貸業務增長緩慢可能會抑制估值水平;第三是螞蟻擬建的錢塘江信用評分公司尚未獲得許可,可能也因股權結構問題而推遲;第四是內地更詳細的金融控股公司(FHC)法規尚未出臺,包括資本金要求、數據保護、數據共享、關聯交易規則等。該行稱,雖目前存在不確定性,但該行認爲螞蟻的IPO仍會最終會發生,料可能不會在2022年落實。 【跌股千三隻 內房股捱沽】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲9比31(上日19比20),下跌股份1,361只(跌幅3.3%),恆指成份股今日2只股份上升,下跌股份64只,升跌比率爲2比93(上日爲33比63);大市今日錄沽空億元,佔可沽空股份成交額億元的%(上日爲19.097%)。 內房股捱沽,碧桂園(02777.HK)股價下挫近8%,龍湖(00960.HK)股價下滑4.4%。合景泰富(01813.HK)股價跌11.1%。大和發表報告指,雖然上海解除封鎖,及多地持續出臺放鬆及支持樓市的措施,但內房股最近一週的股價仍然疲弱,預期內地房地產市場的復甦將需要較長時間,導致更多發展商出現現金流問題,尤其是債務即將到期且融資渠道有限的發展商。該行表示,由於多數發展商年初至今的合同銷售緩慢,加上預期未來數個月的銷售表現將持續低迷,相信很多發展商的現金流將進一步收緊,少數發展商將有嚴重的流動性問題。
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