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《即日市評》憂美國進取加息 恆指向下 水泥股挫
受科網及金融股拖累,恆指持續向下。市場憂慮美聯儲進取加息,美國聖路易斯聯儲布拉德稱聯儲局今年底應加息至3.5厘,摩根大通政總裁戴蒙為美國經濟面臨的挑戰猶如「颶風」,促聯儲局立即收緊政策,美股道指及納指昨晚各跌0.5%及0.7%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至2.919厘,美匯指數升至102.22,美股道指期貨最新升117點或0.36%,納指期貨最新升0.74%。人民幣即期收升191點報6.6750兌一美元,上證綜指今日升13點或0.4%收3,195點,深證成指升0.67%,科創50指數揚近4.7%,滬深兩市成交額共8,916億人民幣。 恆指今早低開237點,早市跌幅曾擴大至410點一度低見20,884點,午市跌幅略收窄,全日跌212點或1%,收21,082點;國指跌78點或1.06%,收7,267點;恆生科技指數跌35點或0.8%,收4,397點。大市全日成交總額1,036.02億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入15.61億及4.46億元人民幣。美團(03690.HK)公布季績前夕,全日股價跌1.3%。 港股明天因端午節假期休市,本周僅四個交易日,恆指本周累升384點或1.9%、國指本周累升185點或2.6%、恆生科指本周累升210點或5%。內地疫情緩和,上海指6月起取消企業復工復產審批制度,市場憧憬「保經濟」增長的國策措施持續出台。 【地產股造淡 車股有支持】 部份本地地產股造淡,恆隆地產(00101.HK)、恆地(00012.HK)及新世界發展(00017.HK)今日股價分別下滑近5.1%、4.1%及4%。富時羅素公布旗下指數股份調整,於6月17日收市後將恆隆地產、恆地及新世界發展剔出旗下EFRA Nareit Developed Asia Index。 汽車股有支持,長汽(02333.HK)全日股價彈高6.5%,廣汽(02238.HK)股價揚近3.2%。富瑞近日發表報告指,內地減徵乘用車購置稅的速度和範圍超出該行預期,因此上調今年汽油車銷量預測70萬輛,該行認為,廣汽、長汽及吉利(00175.HK)是今次措施的主要受惠者,因三企於1.6升至2升引擎汽車的業務較多。 【市寬持續弱 水泥股捱沽】 港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為17比22(上日18比20),恆指成份股今日14隻股份上升,下跌股份51隻,升跌比率為21比77(上日為25比38);大市今日錄沽空184.13億元,佔可沽空股份成交額863.67億的21.319%(上日為18.803%)。 水泥股捱沽,海螺水泥(00914.HK)全日股價下滑8.6%,華潤水泥(01313.HK)及中國建材(03323.HK)股價各挫6.8%及近10%。據《中國水泥網》引述市場反饋,進入六月傳統淡季,雨水及中高考等因素影響,終端需求持續走弱,市場競爭激烈,6月1日起安徽省內一些主要廠家對蕪湖、安慶、六安、黃山、宣城等地繼續通知下調高標水泥價格每噸40至60元,低標每噸40元。 麥格理認為,海螺水泥新董事長上任後,海螺作為中國第二大水泥生產商已恢復市場份額戰略,標誌著產業聯盟的終結,並隨即展開價格戰,認為其商業模式的變化及潛在風險遠未反映在價格中,因此首予海螺水泥和華潤水泥(01313.HK) 「跑輸大市」評級。
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