《即日市評》恆指三連升 MSCI調整 大市成交增91%至2,456億
受科網股帶動下,港股今日持續向上。美股昨晚為陣亡將士紀念日假期,金融市場休市,美聯儲理事沃勒將在每次議息提出加半厘,直至通脹受控;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至2.833厘,美匯指數升至101.74,美股道指期貨最新升14點或0.04%,納指期貨最新升0.42%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.07%至104.16。中國5月官方製造業PMI升至49.6(市場原預期49),人民幣即期收升70點報6.6578兌一美元。上證綜指今日升37點或1.2%收3,186點,深證成指升1.9%,內地創業板指數漲2.3%,滬深兩市成交額共9,360億人民幣。
恆指今早低開17點,早段曾跌94點低見21,029點,其後反覆上升,並以全日高位21,415點收市,升291點或1.38%,連升三日(累升1,299點或6.5%);國指今日升161點或2.23%,收7,416點;恆生科技指數升131點或3.02%,收4,483點。MSCI指數成分股調整收市後生效,大市成交總額按日大升91%至2,456.02億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入14.13億及20.78億元人民幣。中金料權重增加的騰訊(00700.HK)及快手(01024.HK)全日股價各升3.5%及7.2%。
恆指本月累升325點或1.5%、國指本月累升118點或1.6%、恆生科指本月累升11點或0.3%。市場關注中國經濟增長所面臨的挑戰,國務院上周公布實施六方面33項一攬子措施穩經濟,增加退稅逾1,400億元人民幣,令投資者憧憬6月及第三季經濟表現改善。
【成交逾二千億 科網股受追捧】
科網股受捧,美團(03690.HK)獲瑞銀納入中資股首選股名單,全日股價揚6.8%,京東(09618.HK)股價漲1.4%。高盛發表報告指出,京東及天貓分別於5月23及26日開始「618購物節」預售,與往年相比,今年的「618購物節」吸引更多投資者關注。
高盛認為,「618購物節」首周預售表現依然健康,新興產品表現較好,且產品價格穩定。基於年青一代消費者較為偏好清潔電器及投影機產品,而截至5月29日京東指Z世代的預售訂單按年增長75%,相信有望轉化為更多有關家電的銷售。至於京東、美的及海爾截至5月29日的預售額超過1億元人民幣,領先白色家電同行。此外,對於清潔電器及家用投影機等結構性增長產品,產品創新仍是推動增長和產品組合改善的關鍵。
【上升股一千隻 中資電力股強】
港股今日市寬續向好,主板股票的升跌比率為28比13(上日27比13),上升股份1,194隻(升幅3.5%),恆指成份股今日48隻股份上升,下跌股份16隻,升跌比率為73比24(上日為67比33);大市今日錄沽空464.33億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,270.8億的20.4%(上日為18.855%)。
中資電力股抽上,中國電力(02380.HK)及華潤電力(00836.HK)全日股價抽升10.2%及8.6%,華能(00902.HK)股價漲8.7%。工銀國際發表告表示,就國務院早前公布將發電央企再撥付500億元人民幣作可再生能源補貼,據該行了解內地大多數國有電力營運商正就潛在補貼事宜進行相關工作,鑑於今年潛在獲中央分配給預算顯著增加,國有電力營運商還預料今年下半年資金狀況將會改善。
該行指發電央企截至去年年底負債比率達到114%至201%,在最樂觀(bull-case)情景假設下,中央的額外補貼將可令主要國有電企的淨負債率降低6%至49%,料其中大唐新能源(01798.HK)潛在受惠最大。該行指電企迎來更好的現金流狀況,也將有助於降低公司的財務支出,對債務融資的需求減少。該行認為,具有可再生能源敞口的燃煤發電企業亦將受益。
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