受疫情影响 盛松成料内地次季GDP增长降至2.1%
据《上海证券报》引述中欧国际工商学院经济学与金融学教授、中国人民银行调查统计司原司长盛松成表示,内地疫情对经济带来的冲击,此轮疫情多点散发且严重影响经济核心城市,对经济冲击的外溢效应较为明显。疫情对经济的影响将主要表现在第二季度,预期次季度经济增长放缓至约2.1%,预期上半年经济增长约3.5%。此轮疫情直接影响服务业,也冲击制造业,供应链阻塞给经济社会正常运行带来挑战,稳就业压力增加,消费恢复也可能更为缓慢。
盛松成认为,避免疫情冲击的影响长期化十分重要,要高度关注市场主体的生存问题,改善预期、提振内需,避免疫情对内地制造业造成不可逆的损伤。统筹疫情防控和经济社会发展,需要在较短时间内有效控制住疫情,并严防疫情再次反弹,尽早实现复工复产,落实「六稳」「六保」,预计下半年内地经济将明显好於上半年。在此前提下,积极的财政政策要加快落实,货币政策须有效配合财政政策,保持政策的连续性和稳定性,以不发生系统性风险为底线,全力支持经济恢复和发展。
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