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郭家耀: 憧憬內地加碼放寬港股料企穩20,500 基建股估值受惠國策
安里資產管理董事總經理郭家耀稱,美股周一(5月2日)先跌後反彈,投資者觀望今周聯儲局議息結果,債息持續向上不利大市走勢,指數一度急跌超過500點,其後由低位大幅反彈,三大指數均錄得升幅收市。美元走勢持續強勁,美國十年期債息升破3厘水平,金價顯著下滑,油價先跌後回穩。港股預託證券普遍向下,預料大市早段跟隨低開。 內地股市今天假期休市,政策消息刺激下,上周五(4月29日)大幅反彈,滬綜指低開高走,收市上升2.4%,滬深兩市成交額亦顯著增加。港股連跌多日後大幅反彈,指數收復21,000點水平,成交亦顯著增加。投資者憧憬內地推出更多放寬措施,有利企業盈利前景,指數有望企穩20,500點水平,反彈阻力在21,500點附近。 另中央財經委員會日前會議,研究全面加強基礎設施建設問題。會議指出,要加強交通、能源、水利等網絡型基礎設施建設,把聯網、補網、強鏈作為建設的重點;要加快新型基礎設施建設,提升傳統基礎設施水平,加強訊息、科技、物流等產業升級基礎設施建設。會議表示,要適應基礎設施融資需求,拓寬長期資金籌措渠道,加大財政投入,更好集中保障國家重大基礎設施建設的資金需求,引導社會資本參與市政設施投資營運。要加快建設國家綜合立體交通網主骨架,加強沿海和內河港口航道規劃建設,優化提升全國水運設施網絡。 同時,要建設一批新型綠色低碳能源基地,加快完善油氣管網。加強智能道路、智能電源、智能公交等智慧基礎設施建設。推進重點水源、灌區、蓄滯洪區建設和現代化改造,佈局建設新一代超算、雲計算、人工智能平台、寬帶基礎網絡等設施,推進重大科技基礎設施佈局建設,加強綜合交通樞紐及集疏運體系建設。會議提出,要適度超前,佈局有利於引領產業發展和維護國家安全的基礎設施,同時把握好超前建設的度。要引導好市場預期,講清楚政策導向和原則,穩定市場信心。應對當前疲弱的宏觀經濟表現,加大基建投放成為重要刺激政策手段,有助基建行業的景氣度及估值提升。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,沒持有上述股份)~
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