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《即日市評》憧內地降存準金率 恆指三連升 車股及內需股強
受中國平安(02318.HK)、內需股帶動下,恆指今日持續向上。市場消化美通脹數據,美債孳息下跌,美股道指及納指各升1%及2%,執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至2.685厘,美匯指數跌至99.66,美股道指期貨最新跌12點或0.04%,納指期貨最新升0.11%。國務院總理李克強表示適時會運用降準等貨幣政策工具,並擴大重點領域消費,上證綜指全日升38點或1.22%收3,225點,深證成指升1.27%,滬深兩市成交額共8,701億人民幣。 恆指今早高開88點,早段一度低見21,358,其後輾轉回升,午後曾升213點一度高見21,587點,最終全日升143或0.67%,收21,518點,連升三日(累漲309點或1.5%);國指今日升70點或0.97%,收7,385點;恆生科技指數全日升51點或1.2%,收4,320點。大市全日成交總額989.09億元,滬、深港通分別淨流入9.67億及9.72億元人民幣。港股明日(15日)及下周一(18日)因耶穌受難節及復活節假期休市。 恆指本周累跌353點或1.6%、國指本周累跌104點或1.4%、恆生科指本周累跌102點或2.3%。市場憂內地疫情蔓延,擔心干擾生產及供應鏈,美國公布3月核心通脹升幅略低預期,高盛指美國核心通脹或已於3月見頂,市場關注美聯儲取態。 【憧降存準金率 汽車股有支持】 總理李克強指要擴大重點領域消費,鼓勵汽車、家電等大宗消費,各地不得新增汽車限購措施,已實施限購的逐步增加增量指標以及支持新能源汽車消費等。內地汽車股造好,比亞迪(01211.HK)全日股價上揚4.7%收239.8元,吉利(00175.HK)漲5.2%,小鵬汽車(09868.HK)揚5.8%。 大和發表內地汽車行業報告,內地車股推薦比亞迪和蔚來汽車(NIO.US),指兩公司的付運確定性更高,並建議在今年第二季中段加倉長城汽車(2333.HK)。由於汽車市場需求大增,晶片製造商增加了8英寸和12英寸晶圓產能,該專家認為2023年相關供應可能超過需求,但認為海外的中高端晶片可能不易被替代。 【上升股千二隻 內需股受追捧】 股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為29比11(上日20比19),上升股份1,262隻(升幅2.9%),恆指成份股今日51隻股份上升,下跌股份10隻,升跌比率為77比15(上日為55比42);大市今日錄沽空190.82億元,佔可沽空股份成交額853.08億的22.369%(上日為24.636%)。 內需股跑贏大市,海底撈(06862.HK)升10.1%,呷哺呷哺(00520.HK)、頤海(01579.HK)及九毛九(09922.HK)各升6.7%至8%。 野村發表報告指,國務院例會透露當局將在適當時候透過降低存款準備金比率(RRR)等貨幣工具來支持受疫情嚴重打擊的實體經濟,預料人民銀行很可能在未來數天或降存準金率50個基點,估計將釋放出約12,000億元人民幣資金,估計部分釋放資金可用於抵銷5月及6月到期的共3,000億元人民幣中期借貸便利(MLF)。(wl/a) ~
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