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A股收评:沪指反弹涨1.22%,煤炭股持续上涨,白酒股爆发

今日,三大指数全天分化,上证和深成指数震荡走强大涨,创业板指震荡微跌。截止收盘,沪指涨1.22%,深成指涨1.27%,创业板指跌0.02%。总体上个股涨多跌少,两市超3100只个股上涨。沪深两市今日成交额8701亿,较上个交易日缩量33亿,沪深股通因香港公众假期今日休市。

盘面上,煤炭股持续爆发,板块再度大涨,安源煤业2连板。新冠检测板块大涨,九安医疗3连板股价创历史新高。房地产板块震荡走强,保利发展股价创历史新高。下跌方面,旅游、港口、物流等近期活跃题材板块陷入调整。

具体来看:

煤炭股强势领涨,安源煤业、山西焦化、远兴能源、平煤股份、昊华能源、神火股份、电投能源涨停,山煤国际、潞安环能、山西焦煤涨超7%,晋控煤业涨超6%,陕西黑猫等涨超5%。

消息面上,焦炭主力合约涨超3%,续创历史新高。中信证券认为,今年以来煤炭需求整体表现平淡,但煤价表现不断超预期,显示供给偏紧,而供给端的瓶颈主要来自于进口减量。短期板块波动节奏依然跟随海外油价预期的变化;预计后续疫情缓和及基建开始发力后,煤炭需求还有新一轮脉冲改善;中期稳增长、地产政策逐渐放松等政策预期也会支撑行业需求预期。按照目前的业绩预期和估值水平,板块依然有上涨催化剂,仍有望实现显著的超额收益。

新冠检测板块反弹,泰林生物、兰卫医学20CM涨停,万孚生物涨超14%,热景生物涨超11%,明德生物、九安医疗等涨停,博拓生物涨超9%,硕世生物涨超8%,达安基因、华测检测等涨超7%。

白酒股大爆发,皇台酒业、伊力特、天佑德酒涨停,泸州老窖涨超8%,酒鬼酒、迎驾贡酒、古井贡酒、山西汾酒涨超6%,舍得、五粮液、今世缘涨超5%,口子窖、老白干酒涨超4%。

浙商证券认为,当前预期及基本面主导白酒板块表现,行业景气度仍在背景下,预计疫情拐点后白酒风将起。中信证券认为,当前白酒仍首推高端、关注次高端及地产酒边际变化。山西证券认为,经过前期回调,白酒板块悲观情绪释放。紧握一线白酒,寻找高弹性二、三线白酒。

地产股走强,京能置业、渝开发、中交地产、京投发展等涨停,浦东金桥、鲁商发展涨超7%,保利发展涨超6%,新城控股、招商蛇口、华侨城A等跟涨。

消息面上,一方面,国务院总理主持召开国务院常务会议,适时运用降准等货币政策工具,进一步加大金融对实体经济特别是受疫情严重影响行业和中小微企业、个体工商户支持力度,向实体经济合理让利,降低综合融资成本。另一方面,各城房地产政策仍在放松。安徽省淮北市出台政策,今年4月30日-5月4日春季房展会期间,个人或家庭购买首套新建商品房可获最高不超过6万元奖励,非首套可获不超过4万元奖励;购买新建非住宅商品房,也可获最高不超过3万元奖励。

芯片股午后拉升,北方华创一度涨停收涨8%,唯捷创芯涨超15%,盛美上海涨超14%,天岳先进涨超8%,富满微涨超7%,富瀚微、长川科技、斯达半导涨超6%,兆易创新、芯源微涨超5%,士兰微涨超4%。

消息面上,北方华创13日公告称,预计2022年第一季度实现营业收入19.93亿元-22.77亿元,同比增长40%-60%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润1.97亿元-2.19亿元,同比增长170%-200%。方正证券研报预计,公司2021-2023年营业收入分别为96.8/155.4/202.4亿元,归母净利润分别为10.8/20.2/30.1亿元,维持“强烈推荐”评级。

旅游股继续回调,张家界、岭南控股跌超7%,云南旅游跌超5%,曲江文旅、桂林旅游等跟跌。

港口航运板块走弱,北部湾港、厦门港务跌超9%,海峡股份跌超4%,锦州港、连云港、南京港等跟涨。

个股方面,因遭遇黑天鹅事件,智飞生物、万泰生物股价崩了,智飞生物最终收跌14.19%报116元,总市值1856亿元。

消息面上,WHO称单剂次HPV疫苗接种可有效预防宫颈癌。对此,智飞生物表示,公司已经知晓上述消息。万泰生物发布说明公告,截至目前,公司仅取得了国内疫苗注册许可,尚未取得境外国家疫苗注册许可。公司目前在国内获批的二价HPV疫苗是3剂次(9-14岁女性可以2剂次)。在目前国家药监政策下,如进行接种剂次等变更,需要履行一系列临床、数据支持及注册变更手续,需要一定时间,短期内对公司的经营业绩没有重大影响。

展望未来,中信证券认为,降准短期内或将落地,同时不排除“双降”的可能。权益资产所面临多重的压力逐渐缓解,市场企稳在即。企稳后,预计基本面的缓步改善将驱动权益市场行情,当下的“磨底”阶段正是布局的良好时机。

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