《高盛認股證牛熊證》美聯儲透露縮表計劃 美股承壓納指急挫 留意納指貼價沽10320、中期沽10373、道指貼價沽10359
正股表現:據聯儲局議息會議記錄顯示,多數委員同意每個月縮減資產負債表上限增至950億美元以應對通脹飆升,即預期今年將會縮表超過1萬億美元。及準備在即將召開的議息會議上加息半厘,迅速將利率推向約2.4%的中性水平。美股昨晚下跌,三大指數中納指跌幅最大,創兩周新低,跌2.2%。道指亦失守34,500點水平。
資金流向:觀察個股輪證資金流向,資金傾向部署淡倉避險,過去5個交易日皆錄得資金流入納指認沽證,合共約770萬元。納指好倉於上週四至本週一皆錄得資金流入後,昨日獲資金轉向沽出。
道指及標指方面,淡倉於本週一及本週三分別共錄得約60萬元及40萬元資金流入。
產品選擇:投資者如認為後續反彈乏力,計劃以美指認沽證部署對沖。如認為跌勢急劇,有短期下行壓力,納指方面可留意年期約2個月的高槓桿納指沽10320,高對沖值,緊貼指數升跌。如認為市場將續步反映加息壓力,作中線部署可留意納指沽10373,時間值損耗較低,9月到期,涵蓋未來多次議息會議。道指方面的貼價選擇可留意年期約2個月的道指沽10359。中期選擇可留意低街貨道指沽10388。標指方面可留意屬中期的低街貨標指沽10395。
納指沽10373,行使價11,405點,2022年09月16日到期,實際槓桿6.6倍,中期、時間值損耗較低
納指沽10320,行使價14,480點,2022年06月17日到期,實際槓桿9.0倍,貼價、高對沖值
道指沽10359,行使價32,380點,2022年06月17日到期,實際槓桿12.1倍,貼價
道指沽10388,行使價30,680點,2022年09月16日到期,實際槓桿7.0倍,中期、低街貨
標指沽10395,行使價3,788點,2022年09月16日到期,實際槓桿6.7倍,中期、低街貨
投資者如看好後市走勢,納指方面的高槓桿選擇可留意屬行使價16,000點以下產品中,槓桿最高的納指購10339。貼價選擇可留意年期約5個月的低街貨納指購10374。道指方面可留意屬行使價32,000至37,000點間產品中,槓桿最高的貼價道指購10372。標指方面可留意年期約5個月,屬高槓桿的低街貨標指購10341。
納指購10339,行使價16,000點,2022年09月16日到期,實際槓桿9.5倍,行使價16,000點以下產品中,槓桿最高
納指購10374,行使價14,550點,2022年09月16日到期,實際槓桿6.7倍,貼價、低街貨
道指購10372,行使價36,050點,2022年09月16日到期,實際槓桿11.0倍,貼價、行使價32,000至37,000點間產品中,槓桿最高
標指購10341,行使價4,800點,2022年09月16日到期,實際槓桿11.6倍,高槓桿、低街貨
註: 以上數據資料來自高盛認股證牛熊證網站https://www.gswarrants.com.hk/~
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