恆生科技大回吐,中概股監管再生變數,這一波上漲潮將吿一段落?
在經歷了一週的上漲之後,港股科技股迎來大調整。
今天開盤,恆生科技指數低開,眾多科技股已略顯疲態,尤其是近日一路反彈的互聯網、生物醫藥,午後這個態勢更加速向下。
截止目前,恆生科技指數下跌近5個點,大廠們基本都是清一色下跌。

阿里巴巴跌接近7個點,抹去過去兩天的漲幅,騰訊跌超過4個點,剛發佈的財報也不及市場預期。


大廠中,跌幅比較大的還包括美團、京東、百度等等,基本涵蓋了所有大廠;除了互聯網,眾多生物醫藥公司,同樣跌幅很大,其中信達生物跌了十一個點,CXO公司的藥明生物、藥明康德、泰格醫藥等,跌幅都在8%上下。電動車方面,比亞迪的跌幅也不少,接近6個點。
縱觀整個港股科技股,可以説是普跌,也宣吿了上週三以來的大反彈的階段性結束。
究其原因,一個是反彈已經持續了一段時間,本身就有回調的需要,特別是互聯網、生物醫藥這一類,如果以上週三低位算,反彈力度其實已經非常高,像阿里巴巴,上週三最低位去到71塊,昨天反彈至119元,幅度超過50%;另一個就是消息面上,又再次傳出利空,美國公眾公司會計監督委員會(PCAOB)發佈聲明,稱市場關於PCAOB與中國達成會計監督最終協議的猜測為時尚早。
言外之意,即是中概股的監管問題還不能説得到圓滿解決,雖然中國最高層上週三釋放出會努力解決此事,但什麼時候解決,能否圓滿解決,仍然存在諸多不確定性,鑑於過去一年該問題造成的市場恐慌情緒仍然記憶猶新,所以有資金選擇避險,引發下跌,就是情理之中。
事態究竟如何發展,還不得而知,所以投資者們仍然需要注意這方面的風險。
至於後市如何看待?
市場的觀點也分成兩派。
一派是堅定看好反彈,認為至暗時刻已過,可以更樂觀一點,雖然行情不可能一步到位,但至少大方向上是趨向好的,即使中概股監管問題有美方在,不能完全由中國説了算,但中國自身的監管,尤其是反壟斷,可以完全由中方去主導,而這個因素,才是互聯網連跌一年的重要原因,這個因素現在已經發生向好的轉變。
第二種觀點,就偏悲觀一點,主要理由也不外乎,一是行業見頂,互聯網就不用説了,即使也週期性不太強的生物醫藥,因為沒有新的爆款藥的出現,也逐漸內卷,直到下一個重磅新藥出現之前,日子都不會太好過;二是監管方面,仍然存在不確定性,因為這類觀點對於監管放鬆始終不會太樂觀,不管是美方還是中方,中概股多是互聯網行業,而生物醫藥則是上市審批問題,前段時間信達生物申請被美國FDA駁回,為中國創新藥出海蒙上陰影。
行情會如何發展,還得繼續重點關注監管方面的消息,作為投資者,對於後市,最好的態度仍然是謹慎樂觀,看到反彈機會,但也要做好行情起跌過程中藴含的風險。
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