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郭思治: 大市高臺稍見反覆 但整體表現仍偏穩
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過約1,852點之急升後(6日之低位22,709點升至13日之高位24,561點),技術上出現正常消化及整固,恆指上週五(14日)早市先低開244點至24,185點,其後再進一步跌至24,140點方漸見喘定並作技術性回升,由於主要恆指成份股之表現相對仍較硬淨,故整個大市卒在緩步中逐步回升,最後大市更以全日最高位收市,恆指報收24,383點,較上日僅微跌46點,惟全日總成交金額則再縮減至1,198億元,前文已述多次,大市如欲保持逐步往上尋頂之趨勢,恆指必需穩守於50天線(24,018點),另外,大市成交金額該保持在1,500億元左右或以上,因一旦動力放緩,整個大市之升勢將漸受規限。 再看移動線方面之表現,以大市於上週五報收於24,383點計,由於恆指仍續穩守於50天線(24,018點),10天線(23,674點)及20天線(23,402點)之上,故整個續往上尋頂之形態仍未變,而所指的頂,暫該爲100天線(24,653點)但需指出,即使大市能再進一步尋頂,但由於大市之成交金額卻反見放緩,故在動力不配下,大市之走勢會略帶反覆。 傳統經濟股之表現仍續偏強,尤其是一衆銀行股,如匯控(00005.HK),中銀香港(02388.HK),恆生(00011.HK)及渣打(02888.HK)等均續緊扣年內高位,至於內銀股亦同樣續緊扣高臺,但個別之表現已稍見反覆。 (筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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