《即日市評》港股弱阿裏挫半成 人行降準釋萬二億人幣長期資金
港股今日受科網股拖累向下。美國上週五公佈11月非農業職位增21萬個,少於市場預期的55萬個,但失業率降至4.2%低過市場預期,美股道指及納指各跌0.17%及1.9%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至1.388釐,美匯指數處96.28,美股道指期貨最新升266點或0.77%,納指期貨最新升0.5%。國務院總理李克強指中國繼續實施穩健貨幣政策兼適時降準,人行收市後宣佈下調銀行存款準備金率0.5個百分點,將於12月15日生效,料共釋放長期資金1.2萬億人民幣,並指施穩健貨幣政策沒有改變。上證綜指全日跌18點或0.5%收3,589點、深證成指跌0.93%,滬深兩市成交額共1.2萬億人民幣。
港股今日向下,恆指低開346點,早段跌幅曾收窄至138點,其後跌幅再擴大,尾市曾跌451點,最終全日跌417點或1.76%,收23,349點;國指跌180點或2.14%,收8,274點;恆生科技指數跌198點或3.34%,收5,727點。大市全日成交總額1,700.2億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入20.68億及26.08億元人民幣。
【阿裏挫半成 人行宣降準】
阿裏巴巴(09988.HK)股價曾低見109.5元,全日跌5.6%報112.7元。京東(09618.HK)跌4.9%報306元,百度(09888.HK)跌5.7%報134.8元,網易(09999.HK)跌4.7%報161.2元,嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK)跌4.4%,而攜程(09961.HK)挫13.2%,理想汽車(02015.HK)及小鵬汽車(09868.HK)各跌12.8%及8%。
摩根士丹利發表報告,指美國已完成制定所有外國公司問責法案下的規定,中概股或最快2024年之前在美退市,由於中概股佔MSCI中國指數權重26%,重申短期對該指數審慎看法,同時要留意房地產市場波動、經濟放緩、監管風險和疫情再爆發的風險。該行對美國預託證券(ADR)及互聯網股保持審慎態度。大摩表示,較看好不受中概股退市影響的A股,而且較符合互聯網和綠色經濟的政策趨勢,長遠流動性亦受支持。該行指,互聯網平臺最受在美退市影響,其次是娛樂及媒體、汽車(電動車)和消費股,該行繼續減持零售(電商)股。
【跌股千三隻 內房股走弱】
港股今日主板市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲10比32(上日爲22比18),下跌股份1,351只(跌幅3.5%);恆指成份股今日22只股份上升,下跌股份37只,升跌比率爲34比57(上日爲70比28);大市今日錄沽空281.2億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,463.41億元的19.216%(上日18.774%)。
內房股走弱,廣東省政府約談許家印及將向恆大地產派出工作組。中國恆大(03333.HK)全日股價挫19.6%報1.81元,同系恆大物業(06666.HK)及恆大汽車(00708.HK)各跌5.2%及7%。其他內房股方面,奧園(03883.HK)跌7.9%。
摩根士丹利發表報告,指出中國恆大上週五(3日)宣佈可能無法履行其2.6億美元的債務義務,或導致潛在違約和重組。於公告後的兩小時內,人民銀行、中國銀保監會和中證監均迅速發佈對恆大和地產板塊的評論,反映監管機構已準備好應對有關情況。該行指,監管機構強調恆大事件爲單獨個案,有關風險是由公司急速擴張所引起,溢出風險可控。該行亦相信有關情況可控,理由是監管機構及地方政府已有處理違約的經驗和機制,以減少系統性風險,而恆大債務重組將於控股公司層面進行,公司物業項目在監管機構及地方政府支持下,逐步恢復營運。該行預計,內地將推出一些逆週期措施來支持房地產行業,相信房產稅試點運行將比市場預期溫和。
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